Tunisia FortressInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 2match BR
start
30:47length
1258kills
Team 2winner
Mixed20 human · 5 console / 15 PC decode: proto 308 · 3445 stat syncs · 914 zone events · 1225 soldier mappings · 7721483.51s · game 0.7.6.56
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 27327PlayersTeam 2 · score 58250
11MrManth301 (AI)[BOT]—200.0010.0194
3yabao1630245123.013130.038117 11Bennety (AI)[BOT]—604.0030.07564
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 16% / 84%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
soyuzSniper+28.81000 → 1029
- 1000 first rated match
- 84% win chance
- +0.34
- 0.89 of 1.00 76% result (1) + 24% stats (0.56)
- +0.06
- 496.5 pts
- 496.52 × +0.0580 = +28.80 applied: +28.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/377.2² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 496.52
change = 496.52 × (0.8939 − 0.8359) = +28.80
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Valerius12+11.9696 → 708
- 696 18 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 84% win chance
- +4.75
- 0.98 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.96)
- +0.14
- 84.9 pts
- 84.91 × +0.1399 = +11.88 applied: +11.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/126.2² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 84.91
change = 84.91 × (0.9758 − 0.8359) = +11.88
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
papo091115@psn+9.1498 → 508
- 498 8 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 16% win chance
- +0.43
- 0.29 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.57)
- +0.12
- 148.7 pts
- 148.69 × +0.1219 = +18.13 applied: +9.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/171.7² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 148.69
change = 148.69 × (0.2860 − 0.1641) = +18.13
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
djc87_dc+2.2606 → 608
- 606 86 rated matches before this, mid-range of 541–900
- 84% win chance
- +7.77
- 1.00 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.99)
- +0.16
- 13.6 pts
- 13.57 × +0.1607 = +2.18 applied: +2.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/49.0² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 13.57
change = 13.57 × (0.9966 − 0.8359) = +2.18
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
lazare__628+1.91506 → 1508
- 1506 102 rated matches before this, its highest yet
- 16% win chance
- +5.61
- 0.49 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.98)
- +0.32
- 11.9 pts
- 11.86 × +0.3243 = +3.85 applied: +1.9
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/45.8² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 11.86
change = 11.86 × (0.4884 − 0.1641) = +3.85
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
HU_Boldi+1.7938 → 940
- 938 117 rated matches before this, mid-range of 876–1109
- 84% win chance
- +10.94
- 1.00 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (1.00)
- +0.16
- 10.6 pts
- 10.57 × +0.1637 = +1.73 applied: +1.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/43.2² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 10.57
change = 10.57 × (0.9996 − 0.8359) = +1.73
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Ozono_o3+1.41223 → 1224
- 1223 131 rated matches before this, mid-range of 830–1226
- 84% win chance
- +4.59
- 0.97 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.96)
- +0.14
- 10.1 pts
- 10.09 × +0.1374 = +1.39 applied: +1.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/42.2² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 10.09
change = 10.09 × (0.9733 − 0.8359) = +1.39
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
berchaz12093+0.0200 → 200
- 200 94 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 84% win chance
- -4.17
- 0.44 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.06)
- -0.40
- 15.5 pts
- 15.49 × -0.4006 = -6.21 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/52.4² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 15.49
change = 15.49 × (0.4353 − 0.8359) = -6.21
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ladislavkralbak+0.0200 → 200
- 200 19 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 16% win chance
- -8.00
- 0.00 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.00)
- -0.16
- 74.7 pts
- 74.70 × -0.1621 = -12.11 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/117.9² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 74.70
change = 74.70 × (0.0020 − 0.1641) = -12.11
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
spid-sainte@psn+0.0200 → 200
- 200 131 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 16% win chance
- -1.51
- 0.12 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.25)
- -0.04
- 9.8 pts
- 9.76 × -0.0396 = -0.39 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/41.5² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 9.76
change = 9.76 × (0.1245 − 0.1641) = -0.39
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
yabao-0.21630 → 1630
- 1630 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 84% win chance
- +1.27
- 0.82 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.70)
- -0.02
- 7.2 pts
- 7.24 × -0.0152 = -0.11 applied: -0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/35.7² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 7.24
change = 7.24 × (0.8207 − 0.8359) = -0.11
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
loro_come_casas-2.4612 → 610
- 612 27 rated matches before this, mid-range of 593–1082
- 16% win chance
- -1.74
- 0.12 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.23)
- -0.05
- 51.4 pts
- 51.44 × -0.0472 = -2.43 applied: -2.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/96.9² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 51.44
change = 51.44 × (0.1169 − 0.1641) = -2.43
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
FIRESTAR09_10-2.9910 → 907
- 910 4 rated matches before this
- 16% win chance
- -0.49
- 0.15 of 1.00 65% result (0) + 35% stats (0.42)
- -0.02
- 165.0 pts
- 165.01 × -0.0172 = -2.84 applied: -2.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/182.2² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 165.01
change = 165.01 × (0.1469 − 0.1641) = -2.84
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
vanja6799-3.5259 → 255
- 259 60 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 84% win chance
- +4.59
- 0.69 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.48)
- -0.14
- 24.7 pts
- 24.69 × -0.1449 = -3.58 applied: -3.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/66.4² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 24.69
change = 24.69 × (0.6910 − 0.8359) = -3.58
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Ze_Ratz@psn-4.71080 → 1075
- 1080 31 rated matches before this, mid-range of 900–1086
- 84% win chance
- -0.06
- 0.70 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.49)
- -0.14
- 33.5 pts
- 33.49 × -0.1403 = -4.70 applied: -4.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/77.6² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 33.49
change = 33.49 × (0.6956 − 0.8359) = -4.70
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Dreiko_25@psn-4.9210 → 206
- 210 57 rated matches before this, mid-range of 200–900
- 84% win chance
- -0.53
- 0.62 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.37)
- -0.21
- 22.7 pts
- 22.69 × -0.2143 = -4.86 applied: -4.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.8359 × (1−0.8359)) = 223,474
ceiling = / (1/63.6² + 1/223,474) × 0.9922 = 22.69
change = 22.69 × (0.6216 − 0.8359) = -4.86
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
linusdalen-6.6675 → 668
- 675 24 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 16% win chance
- -4.33
- 0.02 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.05)
- -0.14
- 47.0 pts
- 47.04 × -0.1404 = -6.60 applied: -6.6
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/92.5² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 47.04
change = 47.04 × (0.0237 − 0.1641) = -6.60
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
aripaco_monteiro-11.7339 → 327
- 339 15 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 16% win chance
- -4.94
- 0.02 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.04)
- -0.15
- 80.0 pts
- 80.03 × -0.1462 = -11.70 applied: -11.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/122.3² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 80.03
change = 80.03 × (0.0179 − 0.1641) = -11.70
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ing_torrini-22.4855 → 833
- 855 4 rated matches before this
- 16% win chance
- -3.92
- 0.02 of 1.00 69% result (0) + 31% stats (0.07)
- -0.14
- 156.9 pts
- 156.86 × -0.1428 = -22.40 applied: -22.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/177.0² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 156.86
change = 156.86 × (0.0213 − 0.1641) = -22.40
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Henry210783@psn-28.7626 → 598
- 626 5 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 16% win chance
- -4.78
- 0.02 of 1.00 61% result (0) + 39% stats (0.04)
- -0.15
- 192.4 pts
- 192.38 × -0.1487 = -28.61 applied: -28.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.1641 × (1−0.1641)) = 223,745
ceiling = / (1/199.2² + 1/223,745) × 0.9916 = 192.38
change = 192.38 × (0.0154 − 0.1641) = -28.61
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (593 values) — raw JSON
