Tunisia FortressInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 3match BR
start
27:19length
1194kills
Team 1winner
Mixed20 human · 2 console / 18 PC decode: proto 308 · 3418 stat syncs · 748 zone events · 1135 soldier mappings · 6968113.92s · game 0.7.6.56
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 48190PlayersTeam 2 · score 40661
7肘飞弹药架355▼ -336723.03120.0123118 9SSaimon1212▼ -1123009.03380.0112150 11plandngx42 (AI)[BOT]—100.0000.0130
12likebeng (AI)[BOT]—001.0000.0320
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 98% / 2%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
kaisser_015Nz@psn+3.71622 → 1626
- 1622 46 rated matches before this, its highest yet
- 2% win chance
- +0.08
- 0.26 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.51)
- +0.24
- 30.6 pts
- 30.63 × +0.2381 = +7.29 applied: +3.7
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/73.1² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 30.63
change = 30.63 × (0.2564 − 0.0183) = +7.29
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
minasmorgul01+3.7568 → 571
- 568 65 rated matches before this, mid-range of 561–900
- 2% win chance
- +2.25
- 0.40 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.79)
- +0.38
- 19.6 pts
- 19.57 × +0.3774 = +7.39 applied: +3.7
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/58.4² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 19.57
change = 19.57 × (0.3957 − 0.0183) = +7.39
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
KeeganGhost42+3.01016 → 1019
- 1016 75 rated matches before this, mid-range of 856–1117
- 2% win chance
- +1.17
- 0.34 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.69)
- +0.32
- 18.2 pts
- 18.19 × +0.3242 = +5.90 applied: +3.0
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/56.3² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 18.19
change = 18.19 × (0.3425 − 0.0183) = +5.90
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
BNT999@live+0.51372 → 1373
- 1372 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1276–1373 over the last 200
- 2% win chance
- +0.07
- 0.26 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.51)
- +0.24
- 4.0 pts
- 3.98 × +0.2380 = +0.95 applied: +0.5
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/26.3² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 3.98
change = 3.98 × (0.2563 − 0.0183) = +0.95
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Snail___Salad+0.41471 → 1472
- 1471 61 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1007–1514
- 98% win chance
- +11.67
- 1.00 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (1.00)
- +0.02
- 21.7 pts
- 21.69 × +0.0180 = +0.39 applied: +0.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/61.5² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 21.69
change = 21.69 × (0.9997 − 0.9817) = +0.39
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Epicwaran+0.11385 → 1385
- 1385 125 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1029–1400
- 98% win chance
- +6.45
- 0.99 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.99)
- +0.01
- 12.4 pts
- 12.36 × +0.0083 = +0.10 applied: +0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/46.4² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 12.36
change = 12.36 × (0.9900 − 0.9817) = +0.10
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Liric35+0.11229 → 1229
- 1229 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 2% win chance
- -2.10
- 0.10 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.20)
- +0.08
- 3.8 pts
- 3.83 × +0.0803 = +0.31 applied: +0.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 3.83
change = 3.83 × (0.0986 − 0.0183) = +0.31
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Militarkittyy+0.1992 → 992
- 992 93 rated matches before this, mid-range of 838–1100
- 2% win chance
- -4.61
- 0.02 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.04)
- +0.00
- 13.8 pts
- 13.84 × +0.0039 = +0.05 applied: +0.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/49.1² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 13.84
change = 13.84 × (0.0222 − 0.0183) = +0.05
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
matttew2022+0.1344 → 344
- 344 24 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 2% win chance
- -4.35
- 0.02 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.04)
- +0.00
- 48.3 pts
- 48.32 × +0.0026 = +0.13 applied: +0.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/91.9² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 48.32
change = 48.32 × (0.0209 − 0.0183) = +0.13
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Zlombie+0.0763 → 763
- 763 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 753–772 over the last 200
- 2% win chance
- -3.31
- 0.05 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.10)
- +0.03
- 3.8 pts
- 3.83 × +0.0306 = +0.12 applied: +0.0
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 3.83
change = 3.83 × (0.0489 − 0.0183) = +0.12
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Damaszek#1-0.21412 → 1412
- 1412 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1280–1423 over the last 200
- 98% win chance
- +3.68
- 0.94 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.92)
- -0.04
- 5.5 pts
- 5.45 × -0.0414 = -0.23 applied: -0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/30.8² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 5.45
change = 5.45 × (0.9403 − 0.9817) = -0.23
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
swarm001-0.2701 → 700
- 701 101 rated matches before this, mid-range of 686–1112
- 2% win chance
- -6.30
- 0.01 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.01)
- -0.01
- 13.6 pts
- 13.62 × -0.0109 = -0.15 applied: -0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/48.7² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 13.62
change = 13.62 × (0.0074 − 0.0183) = -0.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Oompaloompa420-0.41589 → 1588
- 1589 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 98% win chance
- +2.29
- 0.87 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.82)
- -0.12
- 4.0 pts
- 4.00 × -0.1157 = -0.46 applied: -0.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/26.4² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 4.00
change = 4.00 × (0.8660 − 0.9817) = -0.46
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Bielak#3-0.7946 → 945
- 946 175 rated matches before this, mid-range of 838–1018
- 98% win chance
- +2.60
- 0.89 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.85)
- -0.09
- 8.1 pts
- 8.12 × -0.0948 = -0.77 applied: -0.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/37.6² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 8.12
change = 8.12 × (0.8869 − 0.9817) = -0.77
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Flappieflap007-1.2424 → 423
- 424 22 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 2% win chance
- -10.81
- 0.00 of 1.00
- -0.02
- 64.8 pts
- 64.78 × -0.0183 = -1.19 applied: -1.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0183 × (1−0.0183)) = 1,683,506
ceiling = / (1/106.5² + 1/1,683,506) × 0.9989 = 64.78
change = 64.78 × (0.0000 − 0.0183) = -1.19
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
SuperMonke-2.11640 → 1638
- 1640 120 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1009–1645
- 98% win chance
- +1.69
- 0.82 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.76)
- -0.17
- 12.3 pts
- 12.25 × -0.1659 = -2.03 applied: -2.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/46.2² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 12.25
change = 12.25 × (0.8158 − 0.9817) = -2.03
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
肘飞弹药架-3.0358 → 355
- 358 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 320–543 over the last 200
- 98% win chance
- -1.68
- 0.43 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.25)
- -0.55
- 5.4 pts
- 5.38 × -0.5491 = -2.95 applied: -3.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/30.6² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 5.38
change = 5.38 × (0.4326 − 0.9817) = -2.95
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Mr_gandalf-10.3937 → 926
- 937 64 rated matches before this, mid-range of 896–1100
- 98% win chance
- -2.16
- 0.39 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.19)
- -0.59
- 17.4 pts
- 17.36 × -0.5943 = -10.32 applied: -10.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/55.0² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 17.36
change = 17.36 × (0.3874 − 0.9817) = -10.32
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
SSaimon-11.21223 → 1212
- 1223 77 rated matches before this, its highest yet
- 98% win chance
- -4.58
- 0.28 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.04)
- -0.70
- 15.9 pts
- 15.88 × -0.7004 = -11.12 applied: -11.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/52.6² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 15.88
change = 15.88 × (0.2813 − 0.9817) = -11.12
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
LukesMajor-12.3897 → 884
- 897 68 rated matches before this, mid-range of 872–1134
- 98% win chance
- -5.68
- 0.26 of 1.00 25% result (1) + 75% stats (0.02)
- -0.72
- 17.2 pts
- 17.17 × -0.7178 = -12.32 applied: -12.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9986² × 0.9817 × (1−0.9817)) = 1,684,518
ceiling = / (1/54.7² + 1/1,684,518) × 0.9986 = 17.17
change = 17.17 × (0.2639 − 0.9817) = -12.32
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (752 values) — raw JSON