Tunisia FortressInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 3match BR
start
21:28length
826kills
Team 2winner
Mixed20 human · 9 console / 11 PC decode: proto 308 · 2347 stat syncs · 576 zone events · 797 soldier mappings · 7324304.65s · game 0.7.6.56
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 27492PlayersTeam 2 · score 29634
10Lisstary14562 (AI)[BOT]—502.0010.06224
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 5% / 95%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
PatoDe2Pesos@live+1.9915 → 917
- 915 14 rated matches before this, mid-range of 838–985
- 5% win chance
- -1.84
- 0.10 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.20)
- +0.05
- 71.9 pts
- 71.93 × +0.0534 = +3.84 applied: +1.9
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.0468 × (1−0.0468)) = 680,700
ceiling = / (1/113.0² + 1/680,700) × 0.9969 = 71.93
change = 71.93 × (0.1002 − 0.0468) = +3.84
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Xmoscoxx@live+1.91306 → 1308
- 1306 146 rated matches before this, mid-range of 900–1308
- 5% win chance
- +9.77
- 0.50 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (1.00)
- +0.45
- 8.4 pts
- 8.40 × +0.4525 = +3.80 applied: +1.9
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.0468 × (1−0.0468)) = 680,700
ceiling = / (1/38.3² + 1/680,700) × 0.9969 = 8.40
change = 8.40 × (0.4993 − 0.0468) = +3.80
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
fbi_mostwanted+1.7956 → 958
- 956 97 rated matches before this, mid-range of 944–1169
- 5% win chance
- +1.22
- 0.31 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.62)
- +0.26
- 12.9 pts
- 12.90 × +0.2629 = +3.39 applied: +1.7
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.0468 × (1−0.0468)) = 680,700
ceiling = / (1/47.5² + 1/680,700) × 0.9969 = 12.90
change = 12.90 × (0.3097 − 0.0468) = +3.39
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Wasureta03+1.6957 → 958
- 957 192 rated matches before this, its highest yet
- 5% win chance
- +5.83
- 0.48 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.97)
- +0.44
- 7.2 pts
- 7.18 × +0.4379 = +3.14 applied: +1.6
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.0468 × (1−0.0468)) = 680,700
ceiling = / (1/35.4² + 1/680,700) × 0.9969 = 7.18
change = 7.18 × (0.4847 − 0.0468) = +3.14
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Darkstarflyr+0.5462 → 462
- 462 128 rated matches before this, mid-range of 423–1041
- 95% win chance
- +10.55
- 1.00 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (1.00)
- +0.05
- 11.5 pts
- 11.50 × +0.0461 = +0.53 applied: +0.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/44.8² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 11.50
change = 11.50 × (0.9993 − 0.9532) = +0.53
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ban-yamiyugi@psn+0.4652 → 653
- 652 42 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- -2.48
- 0.07 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.14)
- +0.02
- 29.6 pts
- 29.61 × +0.0229 = +0.68 applied: +0.4
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.0468 × (1−0.0468)) = 680,700
ceiling = / (1/72.1² + 1/680,700) × 0.9969 = 29.61
change = 29.61 × (0.0697 − 0.0468) = +0.68
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
mikipanzer5+0.21035 → 1035
- 1035 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 95% win chance
- +9.43
- 1.00 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (1.00)
- +0.05
- 4.2 pts
- 4.18 × +0.0453 = +0.19 applied: +0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/27.0² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 4.18
change = 4.18 × (0.9985 − 0.9532) = +0.19
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
SageCloth+0.01258 → 1258
- 1258 101 rated matches before this, mid-range of 878–1262
- 95% win chance
- +4.29
- 0.96 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (0.95)
- +0.00
- 13.9 pts
- 13.86 × +0.0046 = +0.06 applied: +0.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/49.2² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 13.86
change = 13.86 × (0.9578 − 0.9532) = +0.06
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ggibran_999@psn+0.0200 → 200
- 200 52 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- -5.45
- 0.01 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.02)
- -0.04
- 26.4 pts
- 26.43 × -0.0350 = -0.93 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.0468 × (1−0.0468)) = 680,700
ceiling = / (1/68.1² + 1/680,700) × 0.9969 = 26.43
change = 26.43 × (0.0118 − 0.0468) = -0.93
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ZJfan@psn-0.2456 → 456
- 456 118 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- -4.03
- 0.03 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.06)
- -0.01
- 11.5 pts
- 11.48 × -0.0149 = -0.17 applied: -0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.0468 × (1−0.0468)) = 680,700
ceiling = / (1/44.8² + 1/680,700) × 0.9969 = 11.48
change = 11.48 × (0.0319 − 0.0468) = -0.17
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Ron-Ares-0.3201 → 201
- 201 156 rated matches before this, mid-range of 200–900
- 5% win chance
- -4.41
- 0.02 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.04)
- -0.02
- 8.9 pts
- 8.93 × -0.0245 = -0.22 applied: -0.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.0468 × (1−0.0468)) = 680,700
ceiling = / (1/39.5² + 1/680,700) × 0.9969 = 8.93
change = 8.93 × (0.0223 − 0.0468) = -0.22
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
CharboyMachine-1.4908 → 907
- 908 74 rated matches before this, mid-range of 797–1102
- 95% win chance
- +2.54
- 0.88 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (0.84)
- -0.07
- 17.8 pts
- 17.81 × -0.0743 = -1.32 applied: -1.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/55.8² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 17.81
change = 17.81 × (0.8789 − 0.9532) = -1.32
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
skinysubuwu-1.6820 → 818
- 820 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 95% win chance
- +0.74
- 0.69 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (0.61)
- -0.26
- 6.1 pts
- 6.10 × -0.2595 = -1.58 applied: -1.6
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/32.6² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 6.10
change = 6.10 × (0.6937 − 0.9532) = -1.58
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
zuo_nex92-2.81380 → 1377
- 1380 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1223–1383 over the last 200
- 95% win chance
- -2.02
- 0.38 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (0.21)
- -0.57
- 4.8 pts
- 4.79 × -0.5714 = -2.74 applied: -2.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/28.9² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 4.79
change = 4.79 × (0.3818 − 0.9532) = -2.74
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
moquillo_715@psn-8.0415 → 407
- 415 108 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 95% win chance
- -8.36
- 0.22 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (0.00)
- -0.73
- 10.9 pts
- 10.94 × -0.7293 = -7.98 applied: -8.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/43.7² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 10.94
change = 10.94 × (0.2239 − 0.9532) = -7.98
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
CanadianBias@live-11.8858 → 846
- 858 77 rated matches before this, mid-range of 811–938
- 95% win chance
- -6.74
- 0.23 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (0.01)
- -0.72
- 16.2 pts
- 16.20 × -0.7236 = -11.72 applied: -11.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/53.2² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 16.20
change = 16.20 × (0.2296 − 0.9532) = -11.72
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Prroska#1-37.8884 → 846
- 884 21 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 95% win chance
- -6.53
- 0.23 of 1.00 22% result (1) + 78% stats (0.01)
- -0.72
- 52.4 pts
- 52.36 × -0.7223 = -37.82 applied: -37.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/96.1² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 52.36
change = 52.36 × (0.2309 − 0.9532) = -37.82
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Henson_jr_@psn-99.5717 → 617
- 717 6 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 95% win chance
- -10.23
- 0.51 of 1.00 51% result (1) + 49% stats (0.00)
- -0.44
- 226.2 pts
- 226.17 × -0.4395 = -99.40 applied: -99.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.9532 × (1−0.9532)) = 678,792
ceiling = / (1/204.4² + 1/678,792) × 0.9983 = 226.17
change = 226.17 × (0.5137 − 0.9532) = -99.40
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (623 values) — raw JSON
