Ardennes ForestInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 3match BR
start
25:04length
1201kills
Team 2winner
Mixed21 human · 3 console / 18 PC decode: proto 308 · 3380 stat syncs · 974 zone events · 1154 soldier mappings · 7039502.33s · game 0.7.6.57
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 37484PlayersTeam 2 · score 46975
2Valkay1896▲ +1395106.024400.099059 11l98328909 (AI)[BOT]—212.0010.06292
13Rubber53236 (AI)[BOT]—000.0000.000
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 22% / 78%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
RainerWinkeler+2.61427 → 1430
- 1427 108 rated matches before this, mid-range of 910–1428
- 78% win chance
- +10.65
- 1.00 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (1.00)
- +0.22
- 12.3 pts
- 12.33 × +0.2174 = +2.68 applied: +2.6
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/46.6² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 12.33
change = 12.33 × (0.9994 − 0.7820) = +2.68
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
GrupaVucibatina+2.41141 → 1144
- 1141 100 rated matches before this, mid-range of 906–1151
- 78% win chance
- +5.04
- 0.96 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (0.95)
- +0.18
- 13.5 pts
- 13.50 × +0.1787 = +2.41 applied: +2.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/48.8² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 13.50
change = 13.50 × (0.9607 − 0.7820) = +2.41
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Valkay+1.21894 → 1896
- 1894 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 22% win chance
- +6.17
- 0.49 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.98)
- +0.27
- 8.1 pts
- 8.13 × +0.2740 = +2.23 applied: +1.2
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/37.8² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 8.13
change = 8.13 × (0.4920 − 0.2180) = +2.23
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
OggeKing+1.11563 → 1564
- 1563 179 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1018–1596
- 22% win chance
- +6.84
- 0.49 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.99)
- +0.28
- 8.0 pts
- 8.00 × +0.2768 = +2.21 applied: +1.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/37.5² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 8.00
change = 8.00 × (0.4948 − 0.2180) = +2.21
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
kilixdxp+0.8336 → 336
- 336 154 rated matches before this, mid-range of 325–1035
- 22% win chance
- +2.39
- 0.41 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.81)
- +0.19
- 8.5 pts
- 8.47 × +0.1877 = +1.59 applied: +0.8
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/38.6² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 8.47
change = 8.47 × (0.4057 − 0.2180) = +1.59
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
schemnitz+0.8914 → 915
- 914 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 78% win chance
- +4.52
- 0.97 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (0.95)
- +0.18
- 4.1 pts
- 4.14 × +0.1834 = +0.76 applied: +0.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/26.9² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 4.14
change = 4.14 × (0.9654 − 0.7820) = +0.76
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
BillGatesJr59@psn+0.0200 → 200
- 200 114 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 22% win chance
- -5.18
- 0.01 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.03)
- -0.20
- 11.1 pts
- 11.13 × -0.2030 = -2.26 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/44.3² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 11.13
change = 11.13 × (0.0150 − 0.2180) = -2.26
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
GiannisV+0.0200 → 200
- 200 117 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 78% win chance
- -1.02
- 0.50 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (0.32)
- -0.29
- 11.9 pts
- 11.91 × -0.2859 = -3.41 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/45.8² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 11.91
change = 11.91 × (0.4961 − 0.7820) = -3.41
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Honzaspurny89@psn+0.0200 → 200
- 200 103 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 22% win chance
- -3.46
- 0.04 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.08)
- -0.18
- 11.8 pts
- 11.79 × -0.1790 = -2.11 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/45.6² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 11.79
change = 11.79 × (0.0390 − 0.2180) = -2.11
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
handmade-hair02@psn+0.0200 → 200
- 200 36 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 22% win chance
- -4.24
- 0.02 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.05)
- -0.19
- 34.7 pts
- 34.67 × -0.1942 = -6.73 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/79.1² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 34.67
change = 34.67 × (0.0238 − 0.2180) = -6.73
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Dark_Lord_BS4-0.7539 → 539
- 539 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 78% win chance
- -0.39
- 0.58 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (0.44)
- -0.20
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × -0.1978 = -0.75 applied: -0.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.5842 − 0.7820) = -0.75
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
bernardbl00-2.1330 → 328
- 330 94 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 22% win chance
- -2.81
- 0.07 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.13)
- -0.15
- 13.4 pts
- 13.42 × -0.1527 = -2.05 applied: -2.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/48.7² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 13.42
change = 13.42 × (0.0653 − 0.2180) = -2.05
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
jamiefontaine26-5.1563 → 558
- 563 40 rated matches before this, mid-range of 561–1038
- 22% win chance
- -2.37
- 0.08 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.15)
- -0.14
- 36.8 pts
- 36.81 × -0.1407 = -5.18 applied: -5.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/81.6² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 36.81
change = 36.81 × (0.0773 − 0.2180) = -5.18
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Prion-001-6.3504 → 498
- 504 92 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 78% win chance
- -3.93
- 0.31 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (0.07)
- -0.47
- 13.4 pts
- 13.45 × -0.4691 = -6.31 applied: -6.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/48.7² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 13.45
change = 13.45 × (0.3129 − 0.7820) = -6.31
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
miikeeeCZ7-6.5862 → 856
- 862 47 rated matches before this, mid-range of 723–1033
- 78% win chance
- -0.47
- 0.57 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (0.42)
- -0.21
- 31.0 pts
- 31.01 × -0.2083 = -6.46 applied: -6.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/74.6² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 31.01
change = 31.01 × (0.5737 − 0.7820) = -6.46
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
scottias-11.8319 → 307
- 319 59 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 78% win chance
- -5.24
- 0.28 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (0.03)
- -0.50
- 23.7 pts
- 23.72 × -0.4973 = -11.79 applied: -11.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/65.0² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 23.72
change = 23.72 × (0.2847 − 0.7820) = -11.79
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
InedibleScotty-18.2760 → 741
- 760 15 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 22% win chance
- -3.38
- 0.00 of 1.00
- -0.22
- 83.2 pts
- 83.24 × -0.2180 = -18.15 applied: -18.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.2180 × (1−0.2180)) = 178,338
ceiling = / (1/125.7² + 1/178,338) × 0.9963 = 83.24
change = 83.24 × (0.0000 − 0.2180) = -18.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
vaclav_vlas51163-27.5304 → 276
- 304 28 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 78% win chance
- -5.46
- 0.28 of 1.00 26% result (1) + 74% stats (0.02)
- -0.50
- 55.0 pts
- 55.02 × -0.5013 = -27.58 applied: -27.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/100.6² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 55.02
change = 55.02 × (0.2807 − 0.7820) = -27.58
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
jirass332-31.5746 → 715
- 746 4 rated matches before this
- 78% win chance
- -1.42
- 0.63 of 1.00 48% result (1) + 52% stats (0.28)
- -0.15
- 204.4 pts
- 204.42 × -0.1540 = -31.48 applied: -31.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.7820 × (1−0.7820)) = 177,625
ceiling = / (1/210.9² + 1/177,625) × 0.9983 = 204.42
change = 204.42 × (0.6280 − 0.7820) = -31.48
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (718 values) — raw JSON
