BR 2 match BR · set only by Pzkpfw Iii Ausf J L42
2026-10-19 19:57 start
20:45 length
636 kills
Axis winner
Mixed 20 human · 5 console / 15 PC decode: proto 308 · 1612 stat syncs · 0 zone events · 670 soldier mappings · 2.08s · game 0.7.6.63
Scoreboard USSR · score 15270 Players Axis · score 17338
10 alexsemer (AI) [BOT] — 4 0 0.0 0 2 0.0 9 240
12 Liony48605 (AI) [BOT] — 1 0 2.0 0 0 0.0 3 70
5 Dogi#6 955 ▼ -4 1 26 0 6.0 0 1 0.0 6 1270 10 Blinchilman (AI) [BOT] — 0 0 0.0 6 0 0.0 0 428
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths Pre-match odds: 7% / 93% . New players (under 10 rated matches before this one): 4 / 6 . Each one lowers their side's odds. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
bedropom +75.0 746 → 821 Going in 746 first rated match Expected 0.79 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.93) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.66) Stat line +3.49 Score 0.94 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.87 ) Surprise +0.14 Ceiling 618.0 pts Change 618.02 × +0.1437 = +88.78 applied: +75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/377.2² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 618.02 change = 618.02 × (0.9369 − 0.7932) = +88.78
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
BuTO_KOPJIEOHE +75.0 671 → 746 Going in 671 1 rated match before this Expected 0.73 of 1.00 48% win chance (0.93) + 52% usual stats at this rating (0.55) Stat line +2.88 Score 0.91 of 1.00 48% result (1) + 52% stats (0.83 ) Surprise +0.18 Ceiling 438.6 pts Change 438.63 × +0.1786 = +78.35 applied: +75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/304.9² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 438.63 change = 438.63 × (0.9121 − 0.7335) = +78.35
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
SiegrunSteiner +73.4 593 → 666 Going in 593 7 rated matches before this, mid-range of 552–680 Expected 0.63 of 1.00 35% win chance (0.93) + 65% usual stats at this rating (0.46) Stat line +3.67 Score 0.93 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.88 ) Surprise +0.30 Ceiling 246.2 pts Change 246.24 × +0.2981 = +73.41 applied: +73.4 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/219.3² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 246.24 change = 246.24 × (0.9254 − 0.6273) = +73.41
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Full_Braca123 +42.5 746 → 789 Going in 746 first rated match Expected 0.34 of 1.00 55% win chance (0.07) + 45% usual stats at this rating (0.66) Stat line +5.92 Score 0.43 of 1.00 55% result (0) + 45% stats (0.96 ) Surprise +0.10 Ceiling 615.0 pts Change 614.98 × +0.0987 = +60.68 applied: +42.5 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/377.2² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 614.98 change = 614.98 × (0.4338 − 0.3351) = +60.68
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Minel100 +28.3 746 → 774 Going in 746 first rated match Expected 0.34 of 1.00 55% win chance (0.07) + 45% usual stats at this rating (0.66) Stat line +3.78 Score 0.40 of 1.00 55% result (0) + 45% stats (0.89 ) Surprise +0.07 Ceiling 615.0 pts Change 614.98 × +0.0657 = +40.39 applied: +28.3 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/377.2² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 614.98 change = 614.98 × (0.4008 − 0.3351) = +40.39
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
rikardosha +15.0 639 → 654 Going in 639 10 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 0.65 of 1.00 33% win chance (0.93) + 67% usual stats at this rating (0.52) Stat line +1.28 Score 0.78 of 1.00 33% result (1) + 67% stats (0.67 ) Surprise +0.13 Ceiling 119.5 pts Change 119.55 × +0.1258 = +15.04 applied: +15.0 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/149.0² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 119.55 change = 119.55 × (0.7794 − 0.6536) = +15.04
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
TamToot +11.3 600 → 612 Going in 600 4 rated matches before this Expected 0.27 of 1.00 49% win chance (0.07) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.47) Stat line +0.95 Score 0.32 of 1.00 49% result (0) + 51% stats (0.63 ) Surprise +0.04 Ceiling 361.4 pts Change 361.43 × +0.0449 = +16.23 applied: +11.3 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/273.2² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 361.43 change = 361.43 × (0.3187 − 0.2738) = +16.23
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
daan3974 +7.3 457 → 464 Going in 457 26 rated matches before this, mid-range of 382–682 Expected 0.23 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.07) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.33) Stat line +0.46 Score 0.34 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.56 ) Surprise +0.11 Ceiling 93.2 pts Change 93.25 × +0.1120 = +10.45 applied: +7.3 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/131.5² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 93.25 change = 93.25 × (0.3380 − 0.2260) = +10.45
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
grassel#2 +0.7 351 → 352 Going in 351 51 rated matches before this, mid-range of 350–765 Expected 0.18 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.07) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.25) Stat line -0.99 Score 0.20 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.34 ) Surprise +0.03 Ceiling 32.2 pts Change 32.21 × +0.0283 = +0.91 applied: +0.7 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/76.4² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 32.21 change = 32.21 × (0.2045 − 0.1762) = +0.91
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
OLVS26711 -1.2 370 → 368 Going in 370 31 rated matches before this, mid-range of 366–780 Expected 0.18 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.07) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.26) Stat line -1.91 Score 0.15 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.26 ) Surprise -0.03 Ceiling 43.7 pts Change 43.71 × -0.0289 = -1.26 applied: -1.2 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/89.2² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 43.71 change = 43.71 × (0.1545 − 0.1834) = -1.26
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Kanzari -1.6 1041 → 1039 Going in 1041 179 rated matches before this, mid-range of 925–1182 Expected 0.91 of 1.00 33% win chance (0.93) + 67% usual stats at this rating (0.91) Stat line +1.18 Score 0.77 of 1.00 33% result (1) + 67% stats (0.66 ) Surprise -0.14 Ceiling 10.7 pts Change 10.67 × -0.1439 = -1.53 applied: -1.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/43.6² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 10.67 change = 10.67 × (0.7711 − 0.9150) = -1.53
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Dogi#6 -3.6 959 → 955 Going in 959 93 rated matches before this, mid-range of 735–976 Expected 0.89 of 1.00 33% win chance (0.93) + 67% usual stats at this rating (0.87) Stat line +0.26 Score 0.69 of 1.00 33% result (1) + 67% stats (0.54 ) Surprise -0.20 Ceiling 18.1 pts Change 18.12 × -0.2005 = -3.63 applied: -3.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/56.9² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 18.12 change = 18.12 × (0.6899 − 0.8904) = -3.63
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
oglazone -6.5 647 → 640 Going in 647 23 rated matches before this, mid-range of 523–673 Expected 7% win chance Stat line -0.43 Score 0.00 of 1.00 left more than a minute after first spawning: a loss, stats not used Surprise -0.07 Ceiling 91.9 pts Change 91.88 × -0.0708 = -6.51 applied: -6.5 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/130.5² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 91.88 change = 91.88 × (0.0000 − 0.0708) = -6.51
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Melvin_230407@psn -7.7 402 → 394 Going in 402 13 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 0.20 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.07) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.28) Stat line -2.08 Score 0.13 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.21 ) Surprise -0.07 Ceiling 108.4 pts Change 108.41 × -0.0712 = -7.72 applied: -7.7 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/142.2² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 108.41 change = 108.41 × (0.1272 − 0.1984) = -7.72
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
IKNH6-@psn -8.6 385 → 376 Going in 385 10 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 7% win chance Stat line -5.35 Score 0.00 of 1.00 left more than a minute after first spawning: a loss, stats not used Surprise -0.07 Ceiling 121.5 pts Change 121.47 × -0.0708 = -8.60 applied: -8.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/150.9² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 121.47 change = 121.47 × (0.0000 − 0.0708) = -8.60
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
laurent_gross -43.0 337 → 294 Going in 337 35 rated matches before this, mid-range of 313–686 Expected 93% win chance Stat line +2.35 Score 0.00 of 1.00 left more than a minute after first spawning: a loss, stats not used Surprise -0.93 Ceiling 46.3 pts Change 46.26 × -0.9292 = -42.99 applied: -43.0 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/91.4² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 46.26 change = 46.26 × (0.0000 − 0.9292) = -42.99
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
TAZZZ010@live -54.9 743 → 688 Going in 743 2 rated matches before this Expected 0.78 of 1.00 46% win chance (0.93) + 54% usual stats at this rating (0.65) Stat line -0.58 Score 0.68 of 1.00 46% result (1) + 54% stats (0.42 ) Surprise -0.09 Ceiling 578.9 pts Change 578.95 × -0.0949 = -54.92 applied: -54.9 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/361.7² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 578.95 change = 578.95 × (0.6846 − 0.7795) = -54.92
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
kenanmehmedagic1 -57.6 643 → 585 Going in 643 2 rated matches before this Expected 0.28 of 1.00 53% win chance (0.07) + 47% usual stats at this rating (0.52) Stat line -3.11 Score 0.07 of 1.00 53% result (0) + 47% stats (0.15 ) Surprise -0.21 Ceiling 272.6 pts Change 272.55 × -0.2113 = -57.60 applied: -57.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9700² × 0.0708 × (1−0.0708)) = 487,531 ceiling = Q / (1/232.9² + 1/487,531) × 0.9700 = 272.55 change = 272.55 × (0.0707 − 0.2820) = -57.60
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Sethtattoo@psn -75.0 746 → 671 Going in 746 first rated match Expected 93% win chance Stat line -4.24 Score 0.00 of 1.00 left more than a minute after first spawning: a loss, stats not used Surprise -0.93 Ceiling 618.0 pts Change 618.02 × -0.9292 = -574.26 applied: -75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Capped raised to the rating floor Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/377.2² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 618.02 change = 618.02 × (0.0000 − 0.9292) = -574.26
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
BritishDudee@live -75.0 746 → 671 Going in 746 first rated match Expected 0.79 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.93) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.66) Stat line -3.40 Score 0.56 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.13 ) Surprise -0.23 Ceiling 618.0 pts Change 618.02 × -0.2288 = -141.43 applied: -75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9788² × 0.9292 × (1−0.9292)) = 478,805 ceiling = Q / (1/377.2² + 1/478,805) × 0.9788 = 618.02 change = 618.02 × (0.5644 − 0.7932) = -141.43
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures no captures recorded
Weapon breakdown Raw stat fields (395 values) — raw JSON