Tunisia FortressInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 2match BR
start
20:37length
723kills
Team 2winner
Mixed20 human · 6 console / 14 PC decode: proto 308 · 1909 stat syncs · 344 zone events · 708 soldier mappings · 7684362.65s · game 0.7.6.56
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 13603PlayersTeam 2 · score 24224
2MPLLL540▲ +1113917.00180.0102320 1saswas1721295510.02480.046546 Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 3% / 97%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
MPLLL+10.9529 → 540
- 529 9 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 3% win chance
- -0.61
- 0.20 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.40)
- +0.17
- 130.8 pts
- 130.81 × +0.1671 = +21.86 applied: +10.9
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/152.9² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 130.81
change = 130.81 × (0.1998 − 0.0327) = +21.86
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
pusher_okopov+8.6741 → 750
- 741 32 rated matches before this, mid-range of 656–1010
- 3% win chance
- +4.46
- 0.48 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.95)
- +0.44
- 38.8 pts
- 38.83 × +0.4430 = +17.20 applied: +8.6
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/82.6² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 38.83
change = 38.83 × (0.4757 − 0.0327) = +17.20
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
EmperorPiggy+5.7256 → 261
- 256 50 rated matches before this, mid-range of 251–1005
- 3% win chance
- +2.95
- 0.39 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.79)
- +0.36
- 31.6 pts
- 31.63 × +0.3619 = +11.45 applied: +5.7
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/74.5² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 31.63
change = 31.63 × (0.3946 − 0.0327) = +11.45
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
HansScholl43@psn+0.7375 → 376
- 375 19 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 3% win chance
- -2.77
- 0.06 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.13)
- +0.03
- 50.8 pts
- 50.82 × +0.0300 = +1.52 applied: +0.7
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/94.6² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 50.82
change = 50.82 × (0.0627 − 0.0327) = +1.52
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
盱+0.5945 → 946
- 945 100 rated matches before this, mid-range of 680–963
- 97% win chance
- +9.26
- 1.00 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (1.00)
- +0.03
- 13.8 pts
- 13.80 × +0.0314 = +0.43 applied: +0.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/49.4² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 13.80
change = 13.80 × (0.9987 − 0.9673) = +0.43
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
DeToRoD+0.31435 → 1435
- 1435 111 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1100–1452
- 97% win chance
- +7.58
- 1.00 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (0.99)
- +0.03
- 11.3 pts
- 11.26 × +0.0286 = +0.32 applied: +0.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/44.6² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 11.26
change = 11.26 × (0.9959 − 0.9673) = +0.32
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
saswas+0.31721 → 1721
- 1721 186 rated matches before this, its highest yet
- 97% win chance
- +22.75
- 1.00 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (1.00)
- +0.03
- 7.2 pts
- 7.18 × +0.0327 = +0.23 applied: +0.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/35.6² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 7.18
change = 7.18 × (1.0000 − 0.9673) = +0.23
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Matzemaster@psn+0.0200 → 200
- 200 26 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 3% win chance
- -10.31
- 0.00 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.00)
- -0.03
- 40.0 pts
- 39.96 × -0.0322 = -1.29 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/83.8² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 39.96
change = 39.96 × (0.0005 − 0.0327) = -1.29
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
PUNKKIKI+0.01006 → 1006
- 1006 184 rated matches before this, mid-range of 822–1008
- 97% win chance
- +4.11
- 0.96 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (0.94)
- -0.01
- 7.3 pts
- 7.30 × -0.0063 = -0.05 applied: +0.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/35.9² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 7.30
change = 7.30 × (0.9610 − 0.9673) = -0.05
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Pietro0000000@live+0.0200 → 200
- 200 190 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 97% win chance
- -9.21
- 0.18 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (-0.28)
- -0.79
- 6.9 pts
- 6.86 × -0.7875 = -5.40 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/34.8² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 6.86
change = 6.86 × (0.1798 − 0.9673) = -5.40
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
马踏东京赏樱花6+0.0470 → 470
- 470 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 3% win chance
- -3.76
- 0.04 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.08)
- +0.01
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × +0.0051 = +0.02 applied: +0.0
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.0378 − 0.0327) = +0.02
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
strelok1995#1-0.4202 → 202
- 202 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 200–336 over the last 200
- 97% win chance
- +2.44
- 0.89 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (0.84)
- -0.07
- 5.1 pts
- 5.13 × -0.0732 = -0.38 applied: -0.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/30.1² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 5.13
change = 5.13 × (0.8941 − 0.9673) = -0.38
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
stas_krivov_2017-0.41075 → 1075
- 1075 149 rated matches before this, mid-range of 980–1309
- 97% win chance
- +3.14
- 0.93 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (0.89)
- -0.04
- 9.1 pts
- 9.10 × -0.0380 = -0.35 applied: -0.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/40.1² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 9.10
change = 9.10 × (0.9293 − 0.9673) = -0.35
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Zero65395@live-3.1787 → 784
- 787 7 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 3% win chance
- -5.19
- 0.01 of 1.00 54% result (0) + 46% stats (0.03)
- -0.02
- 164.9 pts
- 164.87 × -0.0186 = -3.07 applied: -3.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/172.2² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 164.87
change = 164.87 × (0.0141 − 0.0327) = -3.07
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Dexter3918@live-4.5929 → 924
- 929 5 rated matches before this, mid-range of 905–1100
- 3% win chance
- -7.29
- 0.00 of 1.00
- -0.03
- 138.4 pts
- 138.42 × -0.0327 = -4.53 applied: -4.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/157.4² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 138.42
change = 138.42 × (0.0000 − 0.0327) = -4.53
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Hops0011@live-4.9633 → 628
- 633 6 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 3% win chance
- -7.34
- 0.00 of 1.00 69% result (0) + 31% stats (0.01)
- -0.03
- 160.3 pts
- 160.25 × -0.0304 = -4.87 applied: -4.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/169.7² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 160.25
change = 160.25 × (0.0023 − 0.0327) = -4.87
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
loser#89-21.1946 → 925
- 946 1 rated match before this
- 3% win chance
- -3.20
- 0.00 of 1.00
- -0.03
- 646.9 pts
- 646.93 × -0.0327 = -21.15 applied: -21.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9956² × 0.0327 × (1−0.0327)) = 962,520
ceiling = / (1/357.6² + 1/962,520) × 0.9956 = 646.93
change = 646.93 × (0.0000 − 0.0327) = -21.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
zdk9zbx9fx-28.8780 → 751
- 780 3 rated matches before this
- 97% win chance
- +0.34
- 0.84 of 1.00 65% result (1) + 35% stats (0.56)
- -0.12
- 232.4 pts
- 232.40 × -0.1239 = -28.79 applied: -28.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/206.8² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 232.40
change = 232.40 × (0.8434 − 0.9673) = -28.79
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
artemradionov195-50.2590 → 540
- 590 11 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 97% win chance
- -3.05
- 0.43 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (0.12)
- -0.54
- 93.8 pts
- 93.79 × -0.5358 = -50.25 applied: -50.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/129.7² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 93.79
change = 93.79 × (0.4315 − 0.9673) = -50.25
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Tex0tex-73.91059 → 985
- 1059 8 rated matches before this, mid-range of 994–1078
- 97% win chance
- -4.37
- 0.39 of 1.00 36% result (1) + 64% stats (0.05)
- -0.58
- 128.2 pts
- 128.17 × -0.5769 = -73.94 applied: -73.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9851² × 0.9673 × (1−0.9673)) = 983,148
ceiling = / (1/152.1² + 1/983,148) × 0.9851 = 128.17
change = 128.17 × (0.3904 − 0.9673) = -73.94
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
no captures recorded
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (459 values) — raw JSON
