Tunisia GorgeInvasion (counter) · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 3match BR
start
20:48length
977kills
Team 2winner
Mixed20 human · 8 console / 12 PC decode: proto 308 · 2841 stat syncs · 532 zone events · 951 soldier mappings · 7109445.08s · game 0.7.6.56
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 31027PlayersTeam 2 · score 28710
4Die157_1209▲ +326804.02460.0113041 Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 44% / 56%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
Dysphorid+3.31826 → 1829
- 1826 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 56% win chance
- +14.82
- 1.00 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (1.00)
- +0.44
- 7.4 pts
- 7.41 × +0.4400 = +3.26 applied: +3.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/36.1² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 7.41
change = 7.41 × (1.0000 − 0.5600) = +3.26
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Die157_+3.21205 → 1209
- 1205 80 rated matches before this, mid-range of 827–1243
- 56% win chance
- +1.35
- 0.77 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.71)
- +0.21
- 15.3 pts
- 15.32 × +0.2084 = +3.19 applied: +3.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/52.2² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 15.32
change = 15.32 × (0.7684 − 0.5600) = +3.19
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Grundyy1@live+1.4618 → 620
- 618 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 601–639 over the last 200
- 56% win chance
- +3.07
- 0.91 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.89)
- +0.35
- 4.3 pts
- 4.26 × +0.3483 = +1.48 applied: +1.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/27.3² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 4.26
change = 4.26 × (0.9083 − 0.5600) = +1.48
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
GAJoseAbelardoQ+0.31052 → 1053
- 1052 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 679–1055 over the last 200
- 56% win chance
- +0.01
- 0.60 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.50)
- +0.04
- 6.5 pts
- 6.54 × +0.0408 = +0.27 applied: +0.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/33.9² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 6.54
change = 6.54 × (0.6008 − 0.5600) = +0.27
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
TheArmoredDoge+0.2565 → 565
- 565 149 rated matches before this, mid-range of 404–932
- 44% win chance
- +5.65
- 0.49 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.98)
- +0.05
- 8.5 pts
- 8.51 × +0.0487 = +0.41 applied: +0.2
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/38.7² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 8.51
change = 8.51 × (0.4887 − 0.4400) = +0.41
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
FLÜGEGEHEIMEN#1+0.1858 → 858
- 858 104 rated matches before this, mid-range of 813–1084
- 44% win chance
- +4.41
- 0.47 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.93)
- +0.03
- 12.8 pts
- 12.79 × +0.0254 = +0.32 applied: +0.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/47.6² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 12.79
change = 12.79 × (0.4654 − 0.4400) = +0.32
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Dr_Livesey01@psn+0.0200 → 200
- 200 173 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 56% win chance
- -4.10
- 0.25 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.06)
- -0.31
- 7.3 pts
- 7.33 × -0.3111 = -2.28 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/35.9² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 7.33
change = 7.33 × (0.2489 − 0.5600) = -2.28
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Kingarthur6359@live+0.0200 → 200
- 200 36 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 44% win chance
- -11.25
- 0.00 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.00)
- -0.44
- 28.2 pts
- 28.15 × -0.4397 = -12.38 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/71.4² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 28.15
change = 28.15 × (0.0003 − 0.4400) = -12.38
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
DenisWallace995@live-0.1200 → 200
- 200 93 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 44% win chance
- -10.30
- 0.00 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.00)
- -0.44
- 14.0 pts
- 14.04 × -0.4396 = -6.17 applied: -0.1
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/49.9² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 14.04
change = 14.04 × (0.0004 − 0.4400) = -6.17
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
adri_imperador-0.2815 → 815
- 815 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 56% win chance
- -0.62
- 0.52 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.40)
- -0.04
- 3.8 pts
- 3.80 × -0.0416 = -0.16 applied: -0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 3.80
change = 3.80 × (0.5184 − 0.5600) = -0.16
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
kronno0000-0.8956 → 956
- 956 102 rated matches before this, mid-range of 899–1105
- 44% win chance
- +1.63
- 0.37 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.75)
- -0.07
- 12.5 pts
- 12.48 × -0.0661 = -0.82 applied: -0.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/47.0² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 12.48
change = 12.48 × (0.3739 − 0.4400) = -0.82
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
NanoTheSand-1.0573 → 572
- 573 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 561–597 over the last 200
- 56% win chance
- -2.33
- 0.34 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.17)
- -0.22
- 4.3 pts
- 4.32 × -0.2201 = -0.95 applied: -1.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/27.5² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 4.32
change = 4.32 × (0.3399 − 0.5600) = -0.95
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ZeBengala@live-2.4292 → 289
- 292 148 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 56% win chance
- -3.25
- 0.28 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.10)
- -0.28
- 8.5 pts
- 8.46 × -0.2834 = -2.40 applied: -2.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/38.6² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 8.46
change = 8.46 × (0.2766 − 0.5600) = -2.40
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
doorhinge9302@live-2.91081 → 1078
- 1081 108 rated matches before this, mid-range of 801–1088
- 44% win chance
- -0.82
- 0.18 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.37)
- -0.26
- 11.5 pts
- 11.46 × -0.2568 = -2.94 applied: -2.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/45.0² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 11.46
change = 11.46 × (0.1832 − 0.4400) = -2.94
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Catman358-3.21584 → 1580
- 1584 118 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1044–1614
- 44% win chance
- -1.41
- 0.14 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.28)
- -0.30
- 10.8 pts
- 10.77 × -0.2992 = -3.22 applied: -3.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/43.6² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 10.77
change = 10.77 × (0.1408 − 0.4400) = -3.22
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
SUKABLYATS___-3.21121 → 1118
- 1121 87 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1100–1257
- 56% win chance
- -2.10
- 0.36 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.20)
- -0.20
- 15.9 pts
- 15.90 × -0.2015 = -3.20 applied: -3.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/53.2² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 15.90
change = 15.90 × (0.3585 − 0.5600) = -3.20
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Volksfrei4337@live-5.5448 → 443
- 448 61 rated matches before this, mid-range of 441–962
- 56% win chance
- -3.54
- 0.27 of 1.00 20% result (1) + 80% stats (0.09)
- -0.29
- 19.0 pts
- 19.00 × -0.2910 = -5.53 applied: -5.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9982² × 0.5600 × (1−0.5600)) = 122,917
ceiling = / (1/58.3² + 1/122,917) × 0.9982 = 19.00
change = 19.00 × (0.2690 − 0.5600) = -5.53
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ZambieSlaya4392@live-7.5750 → 743
- 750 37 rated matches before this, mid-range of 667–921
- 44% win chance
- -0.35
- 0.22 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.44)
- -0.22
- 34.2 pts
- 34.24 × -0.2190 = -7.50 applied: -7.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/79.1² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 34.24
change = 34.24 × (0.2210 − 0.4400) = -7.50
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Jaeiouck-10.1583 → 573
- 583 33 rated matches before this, mid-range of 537–1009
- 44% win chance
- -1.12
- 0.16 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.32)
- -0.28
- 36.0 pts
- 35.99 × -0.2790 = -10.04 applied: -10.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/81.2² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 35.99
change = 35.99 × (0.1610 − 0.4400) = -10.04
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
PandaGamer#2-11.81046 → 1034
- 1046 38 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1000–1148
- 44% win chance
- -2.15
- 0.10 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.19)
- -0.34
- 34.3 pts
- 34.32 × -0.3438 = -11.80 applied: -11.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9991² × 0.4400 × (1−0.4400)) = 122,696
ceiling = / (1/79.2² + 1/122,696) × 0.9991 = 34.32
change = 34.32 × (0.0962 − 0.4400) = -11.80
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (678 values) — raw JSON
