Ardennes ForestInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 5match BR
start
21:03length
1011kills
Team 2winner
Mixed22 human · 2 console / 20 PC decode: proto 308 · 2766 stat syncs · 1016 zone events · 986 soldier mappings · 6991448.96s · game 0.7.6.57
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 23965PlayersTeam 2 · score 49689
3kepe#2495▲ +154419.011350.0123830 5Сталыч270▲ +255706.00170.0122590 11Elvinlixxx (AI)[BOT]—600.0320.05454
12jhanlinhterbat (AI)[BOT]—505.0030.08344
2ToT691396587617.03523.068017 9Andy30197 (AI)[BOT]—1123.0062.071585
10K1erGM70011 (AI)[BOT]—2205.0053.061580
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 5% / 95%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
wmike111+4.1776 → 780
- 776 66 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- +2.65
- 0.43 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.85)
- +0.38
- 21.4 pts
- 21.41 × +0.3805 = +8.15 applied: +4.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/61.2² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 21.41
change = 21.41 × (0.4268 − 0.0463) = +8.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Mijodragsony+1.6668 → 669
- 668 39 rated matches before this, mid-range of 652–990
- 5% win chance
- -0.99
- 0.14 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.28)
- +0.09
- 35.0 pts
- 35.01 × +0.0929 = +3.25 applied: +1.6
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/78.4² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 35.01
change = 35.01 × (0.1392 − 0.0463) = +3.25
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Сталыч+1.6268 → 270
- 268 32 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- -1.83
- 0.11 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.23)
- +0.07
- 46.1 pts
- 46.11 × +0.0676 = +3.12 applied: +1.6
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/90.1² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 46.11
change = 46.11 × (0.1139 − 0.0463) = +3.12
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
kepe#2+1.3494 → 495
- 494 141 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- +0.60
- 0.30 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.60)
- +0.25
- 10.5 pts
- 10.50 × +0.2530 = +2.66 applied: +1.3
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/42.8² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 10.50
change = 10.50 × (0.2993 − 0.0463) = +2.66
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Marco-D+0.5427 → 428
- 427 148 rated matches before this, mid-range of 421–980
- 5% win chance
- -1.48
- 0.14 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.27)
- +0.09
- 10.3 pts
- 10.26 × +0.0895 = +0.92 applied: +0.5
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/42.3² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 10.26
change = 10.26 × (0.1358 − 0.0463) = +0.92
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
AzTeK123+0.31150 → 1151
- 1150 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1092–1194 over the last 200
- 95% win chance
- +13.33
- 1.00 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (1.00)
- +0.05
- 6.4 pts
- 6.40 × +0.0462 = +0.30 applied: +0.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9984² × 0.9537 × (1−0.9537)) = 685,625
ceiling = / (1/33.4² + 1/685,625) × 0.9984 = 6.40
change = 6.40 × (0.9999 − 0.9537) = +0.30
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ToT69+0.21396 → 1396
- 1396 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 95% win chance
- +8.12
- 1.00 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (1.00)
- +0.04
- 4.2 pts
- 4.15 × +0.0436 = +0.18 applied: +0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9984² × 0.9537 × (1−0.9537)) = 685,625
ceiling = / (1/26.9² + 1/685,625) × 0.9984 = 4.15
change = 4.15 × (0.9973 − 0.9537) = +0.18
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
BlackAdler_STR+0.11199 → 1199
- 1199 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1168–1206 over the last 200
- 95% win chance
- +4.45
- 0.97 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.95)
- +0.02
- 3.8 pts
- 3.82 × +0.0167 = +0.06 applied: +0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9984² × 0.9537 × (1−0.9537)) = 685,625
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/685,625) × 0.9984 = 3.82
change = 3.82 × (0.9704 − 0.9537) = +0.06
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Gurau_Mihail+0.1322 → 322
- 322 80 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- -2.89
- 0.06 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.13)
- +0.02
- 16.6 pts
- 16.62 × +0.0168 = +0.28 applied: +0.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/53.9² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 16.62
change = 16.62 × (0.0631 − 0.0463) = +0.28
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Aron120512+0.0200 → 200
- 200 46 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- -7.36
- 0.00 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.01)
- -0.04
- 30.6 pts
- 30.64 × -0.0426 = -1.31 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/73.3² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 30.64
change = 30.64 × (0.0037 − 0.0463) = -1.31
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
VALEN7IN-0.11107 → 1107
- 1107 169 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1082–1252
- 95% win chance
- +3.67
- 0.95 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.92)
- -0.00
- 7.7 pts
- 7.73 × -0.0020 = -0.02 applied: -0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9984² × 0.9537 × (1−0.9537)) = 685,625
ceiling = / (1/36.7² + 1/685,625) × 0.9984 = 7.73
change = 7.73 × (0.9517 − 0.9537) = -0.02
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
NutzHellsangel-0.2200 → 200
- 200 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 5% win chance
- -7.36
- 0.00 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.01)
- -0.04
- 3.8 pts
- 3.82 × -0.0429 = -0.16 applied: -0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 3.82
change = 3.82 × (0.0034 − 0.0463) = -0.16
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
KarottenLord-0.5298 → 298
- 298 183 rated matches before this, mid-range of 297–1100
- 95% win chance
- +2.24
- 0.89 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.82)
- -0.06
- 7.1 pts
- 7.11 × -0.0643 = -0.46 applied: -0.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9984² × 0.9537 × (1−0.9537)) = 685,625
ceiling = / (1/35.2² + 1/685,625) × 0.9984 = 7.11
change = 7.11 × (0.8894 − 0.9537) = -0.46
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Milf_hunter1-0.6510 → 510
- 510 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 95% win chance
- +1.83
- 0.86 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.77)
- -0.09
- 6.0 pts
- 6.02 × -0.0915 = -0.55 applied: -0.6
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9984² × 0.9537 × (1−0.9537)) = 685,625
ceiling = / (1/32.4² + 1/685,625) × 0.9984 = 6.02
change = 6.02 × (0.8622 − 0.9537) = -0.55
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
marcelc5-0.9705 → 704
- 705 76 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 5% win chance
- -5.46
- 0.00 of 1.00
- -0.05
- 19.0 pts
- 18.97 × -0.0463 = -0.88 applied: -0.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9983² × 0.0463 × (1−0.0463)) = 685,762
ceiling = / (1/57.6² + 1/685,762) × 0.9983 = 18.97
change = 18.97 × (0.0000 − 0.0463) = -0.88
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
gluehendeTaube-0.9956 → 955
- 956 30 rated matches before this, mid-range of 909–1034
- 95% win chance
- +4.30
- 0.93 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.88)
- -0.02
- 37.9 pts
- 37.90 × -0.0244 = -0.92 applied: -0.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9984² × 0.9537 × (1−0.9537)) = 685,625
ceiling = / (1/81.6² + 1/685,625) × 0.9984 = 37.90
change = 37.90 × (0.9293 − 0.9537) = -0.92
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Nicebell-11.31076 → 1065
- 1076 11 rated matches before this, mid-range of 879–1093
- 95% win chance
- +6.11
- 0.85 of 1.00 40% result (1) + 60% stats (0.76)
- -0.10
- 113.8 pts
- 113.81 × -0.0989 = -11.26 applied: -11.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9984² × 0.9537 × (1−0.9537)) = 685,625
ceiling = / (1/142.8² + 1/685,625) × 0.9984 = 113.81
change = 113.81 × (0.8548 − 0.9537) = -11.26
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (683 values) — raw JSON