Ardennes ForestInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 4match BR
start
21:05length
1045kills
Team 2winner
Mixed20 human · 7 console / 13 PC decode: proto 308 · 3085 stat syncs · 908 zone events · 1014 soldier mappings · 7548587.31s · game 0.7.6.57
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 29948PlayersTeam 2 · score 45832
11Pana0719488 (AI)[BOT]—1200.00100.06670
7AVRHAM550▼ -235444.03141.0143614 Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 74% / 26%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
Dnnol7369@live+39.9738 → 778
- 738 6 rated matches before this, mid-range of 716–902
- 26% win chance
- -3.87
- 0.51 of 1.00 47% result (1) + 53% stats (0.07)
- +0.24
- 163.8 pts
- 163.82 × +0.2438 = +39.94 applied: +39.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/186.9² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 163.82
change = 163.82 × (0.5082 − 0.2644) = +39.94
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
2230603191+8.71175 → 1184
- 1175 117 rated matches before this, mid-range of 996–1180
- 26% win chance
- +4.37
- 0.96 of 1.00 32% result (1) + 68% stats (0.95)
- +0.70
- 12.3 pts
- 12.29 × +0.7004 = +8.61 applied: +8.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/46.6² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 12.29
change = 12.29 × (0.9648 − 0.2644) = +8.61
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Nothingness5566@live+5.7484 → 489
- 484 12 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 26% win chance
- -4.99
- 0.34 of 1.00 32% result (1) + 68% stats (0.03)
- +0.07
- 79.0 pts
- 79.04 × +0.0719 = +5.68 applied: +5.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/122.9² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 79.04
change = 79.04 × (0.3363 − 0.2644) = +5.68
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Tsoulis_+3.8719 → 723
- 719 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 682–722 over the last 200
- 26% win chance
- +2.82
- 0.89 of 1.00 32% result (1) + 68% stats (0.84)
- +0.63
- 6.0 pts
- 6.02 × +0.6286 = +3.78 applied: +3.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/32.5² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 6.02
change = 6.02 × (0.8930 − 0.2644) = +3.78
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Bogration+3.41418 → 1421
- 1418 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 26% win chance
- +10.55
- 1.00 of 1.00 32% result (1) + 68% stats (1.00)
- +0.73
- 4.6 pts
- 4.64 × +0.7350 = +3.41 applied: +3.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/28.5² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 4.64
change = 4.64 × (0.9994 − 0.2644) = +3.41
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
xXBon-itoXx@psn+1.8750 → 751
- 750 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 26% win chance
- +0.74
- 0.74 of 1.00 32% result (1) + 68% stats (0.62)
- +0.48
- 3.8 pts
- 3.80 × +0.4766 = +1.81 applied: +1.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 3.80
change = 3.80 × (0.7410 − 0.2644) = +1.81
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
rombenson+1.2202 → 204
- 202 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 200–603 over the last 200
- 26% win chance
- -2.46
- 0.43 of 1.00 32% result (1) + 68% stats (0.16)
- +0.16
- 7.0 pts
- 6.98 × +0.1613 = +1.13 applied: +1.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/35.0² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 6.98
change = 6.98 × (0.4257 − 0.2644) = +1.13
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
cedric1987@psn+0.4398 → 398
- 398 23 rated matches before this, mid-range of 385–1002
- 26% win chance
- -2.44
- 0.27 of 1.00 32% result (1) + 68% stats (-0.07)
- +0.01
- 63.3 pts
- 63.26 × +0.0064 = +0.40 applied: +0.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/108.9² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 63.26
change = 63.26 × (0.2708 − 0.2644) = +0.40
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Bartje291996@psn+0.0200 → 200
- 200 97 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 74% win chance
- -9.80
- 0.00 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.00)
- -0.73
- 12.5 pts
- 12.54 × -0.7350 = -9.22 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/47.1² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 12.54
change = 12.54 × (0.0006 − 0.7356) = -9.22
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ariel_38+0.0200 → 200
- 200 32 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 74% win chance
- -4.13
- 0.00 of 1.00
- -0.74
- 40.4 pts
- 40.41 × -0.7356 = -29.73 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/85.9² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 40.41
change = 40.41 × (0.0000 − 0.7356) = -29.73
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
datenzeug+0.0200 → 200
- 200 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 74% win chance
- -5.24
- 0.01 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.03)
- -0.72
- 5.2 pts
- 5.23 × -0.7225 = -3.78 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/30.3² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 5.23
change = 5.23 × (0.0131 − 0.7356) = -3.78
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
lastdefence87-1.51512 → 1510
- 1512 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1396–1518 over the last 200
- 74% win chance
- +2.48
- 0.42 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.84)
- -0.32
- 5.0 pts
- 5.00 × -0.3160 = -1.58 applied: -1.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/29.6² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 5.00
change = 5.00 × (0.4196 − 0.7356) = -1.58
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Trahtenbergg-1.82090 → 2088
- 2090 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1900–2092 over the last 200
- 74% win chance
- +1.84
- 0.39 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.77)
- -0.35
- 5.1 pts
- 5.06 × -0.3488 = -1.77 applied: -1.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/29.8² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 5.06
change = 5.06 × (0.3868 − 0.7356) = -1.77
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
immune_tax69@psn-1.9262 → 260
- 262 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 74% win chance
- -0.43
- 0.21 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.43)
- -0.52
- 3.8 pts
- 3.80 × -0.5208 = -1.98 applied: -1.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 3.80
change = 3.80 × (0.2148 − 0.7356) = -1.98
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
AVRHAM-2.0552 → 550
- 552 35 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 26% win chance
- -2.31
- 0.21 of 1.00 32% result (1) + 68% stats (-0.16)
- -0.05
- 37.7 pts
- 37.69 × -0.0535 = -2.02 applied: -2.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9970² × 0.2644 × (1−0.2644)) = 156,097
ceiling = / (1/82.8² + 1/156,097) × 0.9970 = 37.69
change = 37.69 × (0.2109 − 0.2644) = -2.02
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Shyfellow-9.11301 → 1292
- 1301 44 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1073–1303
- 74% win chance
- +3.03
- 0.44 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.88)
- -0.29
- 31.0 pts
- 30.98 × -0.2943 = -9.12 applied: -9.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/74.8² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 30.98
change = 30.98 × (0.4413 − 0.7356) = -9.12
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
MeMnonCZ-11.4782 → 770
- 782 33 rated matches before this, mid-range of 683–1075
- 74% win chance
- +4.51
- 0.48 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.95)
- -0.26
- 44.1 pts
- 44.07 × -0.2592 = -11.42 applied: -11.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/89.9² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 44.07
change = 44.07 × (0.4764 − 0.7356) = -11.42
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
MakarKing-41.61053 → 1011
- 1053 20 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1048–1232
- 74% win chance
- -1.26
- 0.15 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.30)
- -0.59
- 71.1 pts
- 71.06 × -0.5852 = -41.58 applied: -41.6
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/116.0² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 71.06
change = 71.06 × (0.1504 − 0.7356) = -41.58
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Pieface_0303@psn-100.0732 → 632
- 732 3 rated matches before this
- 74% win chance
- -2.69
- 0.04 of 1.00 69% result (0) + 31% stats (0.14)
- -0.69
- 155.1 pts
- 155.05 × -0.6911 = -107.16 applied: -100.0
- limited by the placement cap
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9963² × 0.7356 × (1−0.7356)) = 156,317
ceiling = / (1/180.8² + 1/156,317) × 0.9963 = 155.05
change = 155.05 × (0.0445 − 0.7356) = -107.16
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (663 values) — raw JSON
