Ardennes ForestInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 5match BR
start
17:55length
747kills
Team 2winner
Mixed20 human · 19 console / 1 PC decode: proto 308 · 2243 stat syncs · 758 zone events · 738 soldier mappings · 7383889.7s · game 0.7.6.57
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 16088PlayersTeam 2 · score 36923
9ISchoy8716 (AI)[BOT]—1302.0220.012642
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 28% / 72%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
NateDoubleYOU@live+1.31789 → 1791
- 1789 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 72% win chance
- +13.10
- 1.00 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (1.00)
- +0.28
- 4.7 pts
- 4.68 × +0.2832 = +1.32 applied: +1.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/28.6² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 4.68
change = 4.68 × (0.9999 − 0.7167) = +1.32
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
xSpookyMulder93@psn+1.11374 → 1375
- 1374 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1326–1375 over the last 200
- 72% win chance
- +7.66
- 1.00 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (0.99)
- +0.28
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × +0.2798 = +1.07 applied: +1.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.9965 − 0.7167) = +1.07
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Joegaming2202@live+0.5593 → 593
- 593 108 rated matches before this, mid-range of 567–932
- 28% win chance
- +1.64
- 0.37 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.75)
- +0.09
- 10.5 pts
- 10.46 × +0.0911 = +0.95 applied: +0.5
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/42.9² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 10.46
change = 10.46 × (0.3744 − 0.2833) = +0.95
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Officialjessie@live+0.51089 → 1090
- 1089 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 72% win chance
- +1.24
- 0.82 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (0.70)
- +0.11
- 4.4 pts
- 4.36 × +0.1068 = +0.47 applied: +0.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/27.6² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 4.36
change = 4.36 × (0.8235 − 0.7167) = +0.47
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
BlueWindBlur@live+0.31748 → 1748
- 1748 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1665–1749 over the last 200
- 28% win chance
- +3.64
- 0.46 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.92)
- +0.18
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × +0.1761 = +0.67 applied: +0.3
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.4594 − 0.2833) = +0.67
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Last___Train@psn+0.2497 → 497
- 497 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 28% win chance
- +2.56
- 0.39 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.79)
- +0.11
- 5.2 pts
- 5.18 × +0.1093 = +0.57 applied: +0.2
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/30.1² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 5.18
change = 5.18 × (0.3926 − 0.2833) = +0.57
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
CptRaptor2570@live+0.1769 → 769
- 769 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 72% win chance
- +6.66
- 0.76 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (0.59)
- +0.05
- 4.0 pts
- 3.99 × +0.0455 = +0.18 applied: +0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/26.4² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 3.99
change = 3.99 × (0.7622 − 0.7167) = +0.18
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
celda-comico07@psn+0.1689 → 689
- 689 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 72% win chance
- +10.10
- 0.73 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (0.53)
- +0.01
- 4.2 pts
- 4.17 × +0.0095 = +0.04 applied: +0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/27.0² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 4.17
change = 4.17 × (0.7262 − 0.7167) = +0.04
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
AridWhistle2498@live+0.0200 → 200
- 200 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 28% win chance
- -8.74
- 0.00 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.00)
- -0.28
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × -0.2818 = -1.07 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.0015 − 0.2833) = -1.07
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Be7778156@live+0.0432 → 432
- 432 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 72% win chance
- -0.09
- 0.70 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (0.49)
- -0.01
- 5.5 pts
- 5.46 × -0.0148 = -0.08 applied: +0.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/30.9² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 5.46
change = 5.46 × (0.7019 − 0.7167) = -0.08
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
GONDOG3@live+0.0200 → 200
- 200 36 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 72% win chance
- -7.01
- 0.42 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (0.01)
- -0.29
- 37.3 pts
- 37.26 × -0.2924 = -10.89 applied: +0.0
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/82.3² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 37.26
change = 37.26 × (0.4243 − 0.7167) = -10.89
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Alamo_Crow@psn-0.11148 → 1148
- 1148 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1028–1153 over the last 200
- 28% win chance
- +0.13
- 0.26 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.52)
- -0.02
- 5.9 pts
- 5.89 × -0.0247 = -0.15 applied: -0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/32.1² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 5.89
change = 5.89 × (0.2586 − 0.2833) = -0.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Feltes_BisBr4nc0@psn-0.2200 → 200
- 200 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 72% win chance
- -4.58
- 0.45 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (0.04)
- -0.27
- 4.1 pts
- 4.11 × -0.2707 = -1.11 applied: -0.2
- raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/26.8² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 4.11
change = 4.11 × (0.4460 − 0.7167) = -1.11
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Kjkirk63@live-1.01175 → 1174
- 1175 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 28% win chance
- -4.76
- 0.02 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.04)
- -0.26
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × -0.2632 = -1.00 applied: -1.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.0201 − 0.2833) = -1.00
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
LBEast95SoLo@live-1.0429 → 428
- 429 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 28% win chance
- -6.58
- 0.01 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.01)
- -0.28
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × -0.2780 = -1.06 applied: -1.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.0053 − 0.2833) = -1.06
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Bigjobs7694@live-1.1454 → 453
- 454 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 449–644 over the last 200
- 28% win chance
- -3.04
- 0.06 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.12)
- -0.23
- 4.8 pts
- 4.84 × -0.2250 = -1.09 applied: -1.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/29.1² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 4.84
change = 4.84 × (0.0583 − 0.2833) = -1.09
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Redpup89@live-2.4426 → 424
- 426 94 rated matches before this, mid-range of 418–903
- 72% win chance
- -2.18
- 0.53 of 1.00 42% result (1) + 58% stats (0.19)
- -0.19
- 12.9 pts
- 12.94 × -0.1865 = -2.41 applied: -2.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.7167 × (1−0.7167)) = 148,927
ceiling = / (1/47.8² + 1/148,927) × 0.9990 = 12.94
change = 12.94 × (0.5302 − 0.7167) = -2.41
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
LBobster14@psn-10.9733 → 722
- 733 13 rated matches before this, mid-range of 706–967
- 28% win chance
- -1.68
- 0.12 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.25)
- -0.16
- 67.8 pts
- 67.76 × -0.1603 = -10.86 applied: -10.9
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9993² × 0.2833 × (1−0.2833)) = 148,838
ceiling = / (1/113.1² + 1/148,838) × 0.9993 = 67.76
change = 67.76 × (0.1230 − 0.2833) = -10.86
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (574 values) — raw JSON
