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Ardennes WinterInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 2match BR
start
19:16length
731kills
Western Allieswinner
Mixed20 human · 2 console / 18 PC
Download replayofficial .erpl · ~40-180 MB
Top-down replay2D playback · built on request

decode: proto 308 · 2306 stat syncs · 908 zone events · 752 soldier mappings · 68163.05s · game 0.7.6.67

Scoreboard

Western Allies · score 36401PlayersAxis · score 15168
Western AlliesELOBR
1EasyLiving1225▲ +11134113.016574.078775
2nz290700▲ +1416312.00443.074695
3Score446569▲ +223419.00244.063900
4MÜller_SS82823216.07203.083754
5_RETRORUSTfather528▼ -124513.00350.003659
6RIZXXZ20013701.00232.083065
7rumilgilazev30#1364▼ -721422.0051.012240
8z1201510▼ -122313.00121.031929
9erik_umarov21411805.0072.051770
10alvimana5@psn377▼ -751903.0042.051390
11StormMineKay (AI)[BOT]—1104.0002.041224
AxisELOBR
1BbInuJI_3akycu585▼ -215303.027100.053322
2TheButcher1244497▲ +524023.0090.092455
3PapaYak676▼ -6214601.00160.0102000
4Zhuofrank337▲ +413211.0080.0101800
5Gagar11n528▼ -723406.00170.091720
6MaksMaksPro557▲ +222306.01760.0121191
7Caption#4355▼ -3911702.0050.07700
8CselRoulvilo_gza@psn27821201.02460.05692
9acopan (AI)[BOT]—200.0410.04544
10BabbyMoh (AI)[BOT]—1002.0050.03494
11vanamees_6ja9@psn386▼ -31203.0000.03190
12o6ha9m5tjxkbf99vmt4001100.0010.0260

Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.

Rating maths

Pre-match odds: 98% / 2%. New players (under 10 rated matches before this one): 0 / 2. Each one lowers their side's odds. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.

Full formula →

nz290+13.5686 → 700
686 18 rated matches before this, mid-range of 554–765
0.85 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.73)
+5.74
0.96 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.93)
+0.11
123.3 pts
123.30 × +0.1098 = +13.53 applied: +13.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/148.1² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 123.30
change = 123.30 × (0.9643 − 0.8545) = +13.53

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

TheButcher1244+5.3492 → 497
492 35 rated matches before this, mid-range of 422–722
0.30 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.02) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.48)
+2.11
0.46 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.76)
+0.16
47.7 pts
47.65 × +0.1600 = +7.62 applied: +5.3
gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9968² × 0.0221 × (1−0.0221)) = 1,405,354
ceiling = / (1/91.4² + 1/1,405,354) × 0.9968 = 47.65
change = 47.65 × (0.4579 − 0.2979) = +7.62

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Zhuofrank+3.8334 → 337
334 44 rated matches before this, mid-range of 280–717
0.20 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.02) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.32)
+0.54
0.34 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.57)
+0.14
39.5 pts
39.53 × +0.1363 = +5.39 applied: +3.8
gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9968² × 0.0221 × (1−0.0221)) = 1,405,354
ceiling = / (1/83.2² + 1/1,405,354) × 0.9968 = 39.53
change = 39.53 × (0.3400 − 0.2037) = +5.39

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

MaksMaksPro+1.7555 → 557
555 39 rated matches before this, mid-range of 494–872
0.34 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.02) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.56)
+1.18
0.39 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.66)
+0.05
45.6 pts
45.60 × +0.0523 = +2.38 applied: +1.7
gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9968² × 0.0221 × (1−0.0221)) = 1,405,354
ceiling = / (1/89.4² + 1/1,405,354) × 0.9968 = 45.60
change = 45.60 × (0.3947 − 0.3424) = +2.38

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Score446+1.5567 → 569
567 185 rated matches before this, mid-range of 326–697
0.78 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.57)
+3.56
0.94 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.88)
+0.16
9.2 pts
9.17 × +0.1639 = +1.50 applied: +1.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/40.1² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 9.17
change = 9.17 × (0.9393 − 0.7754) = +1.50

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

EasyLiving+0.61225 → 1225
1225 119 rated matches before this, mid-range of 877–1244
0.96 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.95)
+16.50
1.00 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (1.00)
+0.04
16.1 pts
16.06 × +0.0351 = +0.56 applied: +0.6
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/53.1² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 16.06
change = 16.06 × (0.9999 − 0.9648) = +0.56

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

MÜller_SS+0.2828 → 828
828 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 827–958 over the last 200
0.92 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.86)
+3.82
0.95 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.89)
+0.03
6.7 pts
6.67 × +0.0271 = +0.18 applied: +0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/34.2² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 6.67
change = 6.67 × (0.9467 − 0.9196) = +0.18

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

RIZXXZ+0.0200 → 200
200 115 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
0.60 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.23)
-2.67
0.58 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.17)
-0.02
16.2 pts
16.18 × -0.0182 = -0.29 applied: +0.0
raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/53.3² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 16.18
change = 16.18 × (0.5849 − 0.6031) = -0.29

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

erik_umarov-0.1214 → 214
214 57 rated matches before this, mid-range of 200–858
0.61 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.23)
-2.44
0.60 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.21)
-0.00
27.2 pts
27.24 × -0.0036 = -0.10 applied: -0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/69.2² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 27.24
change = 27.24 × (0.6041 − 0.6077) = -0.10

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

z1201-1.2512 → 510
512 137 rated matches before this, mid-range of 506–925
0.74 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.51)
-0.83
0.66 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.31)
-0.09
14.0 pts
13.96 × -0.0869 = -1.21 applied: -1.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/49.5² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 13.96
change = 13.96 × (0.6555 − 0.7424) = -1.21

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

_RETRORUSTfather-1.4530 → 528
530 125 rated matches before this, mid-range of 500–877
0.75 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.53)
-1.52
0.64 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.29)
-0.11
13.5 pts
13.46 × -0.1084 = -1.46 applied: -1.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/48.6² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 13.46
change = 13.46 × (0.6444 − 0.7528) = -1.46

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

BbInuJI_3akycu-1.8586 → 585
586 66 rated matches before this, mid-range of 474–729
0.37 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.02) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.60)
+0.46
0.30 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.49)
-0.07
25.9 pts
25.91 × -0.0713 = -1.85 applied: -1.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9968² × 0.0221 × (1−0.0221)) = 1,405,354
ceiling = / (1/67.3² + 1/1,405,354) × 0.9968 = 25.91
change = 25.91 × (0.2964 − 0.3677) = -1.85

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

vanamees_6ja9@psn-3.0389 → 386
389 14 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
2% win chance
-3.20
0.00 of 1.00 left more than a minute after first spawning: a loss, stats not used
-0.02
136.6 pts
136.57 × -0.0221 = -3.02 applied: -3.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9968² × 0.0221 × (1−0.0221)) = 1,405,354
ceiling = / (1/155.6² + 1/1,405,354) × 0.9968 = 136.57
change = 136.57 × (0.0000 − 0.0221) = -3.02

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Gagar11n-6.6535 → 528
535 20 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
0.33 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.02) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.53)
-0.47
0.25 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.41)
-0.08
83.0 pts
83.01 × -0.0802 = -6.66 applied: -6.6
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9968² × 0.0221 × (1−0.0221)) = 1,405,354
ceiling = / (1/120.9² + 1/1,405,354) × 0.9968 = 83.01
change = 83.01 × (0.2481 − 0.3283) = -6.66

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

rumilgilazev30#1-7.4372 → 364
372 23 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
0.67 of 1.00 50% win chance (0.98) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.36)
-3.00
0.58 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.15)
-0.09
82.2 pts
82.18 × -0.0904 = -7.43 applied: -7.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/120.6² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 82.18
change = 82.18 × (0.5787 − 0.6691) = -7.43

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Caption#4-39.4394 → 355
394 9 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
0.24 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.02) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.38)
-4.40
0.05 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.08)
-0.19
208.2 pts
208.22 × -0.1892 = -39.39 applied: -39.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9968² × 0.0221 × (1−0.0221)) = 1,405,354
ceiling = / (1/193.0² + 1/1,405,354) × 0.9968 = 208.22
change = 208.22 × (0.0480 − 0.2372) = -39.39

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

PapaYak-61.7737 → 676
737 2 rated matches before this
0.40 of 1.00 51% win chance (0.02) + 49% usual stats at this rating (0.79)
+0.32
0.27 of 1.00 51% result (0) + 49% stats (0.54)
-0.13
473.8 pts
473.84 × -0.1304 = -61.78 applied: -61.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9968² × 0.0221 × (1−0.0221)) = 1,405,354
ceiling = / (1/296.2² + 1/1,405,354) × 0.9968 = 473.84
change = 473.84 × (0.2652 − 0.3956) = -61.78

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

alvimana5@psn-75.0452 → 377
452 12 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
98% win chance
-1.87
0.00 of 1.00 left more than a minute after first spawning: a loss, stats not used
-0.98
142.8 pts
142.84 × -0.9779 = -139.68 applied: -75.0
limited by the placement cap
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9916² × 0.9779 × (1−0.9779)) = 1,420,132
ceiling = / (1/159.6² + 1/1,420,132) × 0.9916 = 142.84
change = 142.84 × (0.0000 − 0.9779) = -139.68

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Captures

Time ▲ZoneTeamSoldiersCredited players
2:33sector_1_aWestern Allies36MÜller_SS, alvimana5@psn, nz290, rumilgilazev30#1, EasyLiving, RIZXXZ, Score446
5:51sector_2_aWestern Allies17MÜller_SS, alvimana5@psn, erik_umarov, EasyLiving, RIZXXZ, Score446
10:47sector_3_aWestern Allies10MÜller_SS, nz290, EasyLiving, Score446, StormMineKay
13:05sector_4_aWestern Allies12EasyLiving, Score446, StormMineKay
19:07sector_5_aWestern Allies11nz290, erik_umarov, z1201

Weapon breakdown

Player ▲WeaponBRKills
Environmental—6
BabbyMohArmaguerra Mod. 3925
BabbyMohGewehr 33/4012
BabbyMohM24 grenade12
BabbyMohBeretta M38A11
BabbyMohMAS-3611
BabbyMohVG.221
BbInuJI_3akycuKar98k118
BbInuJI_3akycuGewehr 33/40111
BbInuJI_3akycuVz. 24110
BbInuJI_3akycuPzB-3918
BbInuJI_3akycuArtillery13
BbInuJI_3akycuEnvironmental—2
BbInuJI_3akycuM24 grenade11
Caption#4Gewehr 33/4017
Caption#4Kar98k16
Caption#4Kar98k with scope mount13
Caption#4MP 34(ö)11
CselRoulGewehr 33/4014
CselRoulBeretta M122
CselRoulAnti-personnel mine11
CselRoulBreda Mod. 3021
CselRoulKar98k11
CselRoulMP 34(ö)11
CselRoulLuger P-0811
CselRoulSturmpistole21
EasyLivingSpringfield M1903A1 USMC172
EasyLivingSten Mk II131
EasyLivingExplosion pack112
EasyLivingSpringfield M1903111
EasyLivingArtillery19
Gagar11nMP 28111
Gagar11nKar98k with scope mount110
Gagar11nBreda Mod. 3026
Gagar11nGewehr 33/4013
Gagar11nMP 34(ö)13
Gagar11nEnvironmental—1
MaksMaksProCarcano M41 (D)17
MaksMaksProVz. 2417
MaksMaksProM30 Luftwaffe Drilling13
MaksMaksPro50 mm KwK L/42 cannon12
MaksMaksPro7.92 mm MG 34 machine gun11
MaksMaksProExplosion pack11
MaksMaksProGewehr 33/4011
MaksMaksProKar98k11
MÜller_SSM1 Carbine27
MÜller_SSSpringfield M1903A116
MÜller_SSM3 Submachine Gun16
MÜller_SSExplosion pack14
MÜller_SSM3A1 Submachine Gun24
MÜller_SSLee-Enfield No.4 Mk I23
MÜller_SS7.7 mm Browning machine gun12
MÜller_SSSpringfield M1903A1 USMC11
PapaYakGewehr 33/40114
PapaYakKar98k19
PapaYak20 mm KwK 30 cannon18
PapaYakMP 34(ö)17
PapaYakMP 2817
PapaYakAxe11
RIZXXZSpringfield M1903122
RIZXXZSpringfield M1903A1 USMC18
RIZXXZSpringfield M1903A116
RIZXXZEnfield P1411
Score446M1 Carbine212
Score446M3A1 Submachine Gun29
Score446Bren Mk I26
Score446Ross Mk III rifle23
Score446G.P. 250 lb Mk.IV bomb12
Score446Mills grenade12
Score446Environmental—1
Score446Explosion pack11
StormMineKayOwen Mk I26
StormMineKayLanchester22
StormMineKayWinchester Model 191222
StormMineKayExplosion pack11
StormMineKayM3 Submachine Gun11
TheButcher1244Kar98k Kriegsmodell112
TheButcher1244Breda Mod. 3028
TheButcher1244Sniper Carcano Mod. 38 (7.35mm)16
TheButcher1244Gewehr 33/4015
TheButcher1244MP 34(ö)13
TheButcher12447.92 mm MG 17 machine gun12
TheButcher1244Kar98k12
TheButcher1244MP 2812
TheButcher1244Environmental—1
TheButcher124420 mm MG FF/M cannon11
TheButcher124450 kg SC50JA bomb11
TheButcher1244TNT charge11
ZhuofrankEnvironmental—15
ZhuofrankMP 34(ö)17
Zhuofrank200 kg No.115
ZhuofrankGewehr 33/4014
ZhuofrankKar98k with scope mount13
ZhuofrankMP 2813
ZhuofrankExplosion pack11
_RETRORUSTfather57 mm 6 pdr OQF Mk.III cannon142
_RETRORUSTfather7.92 mm BESA machine gun14
acopanArmaguerra Mod. 3921
acopanMolotov11
acopanVG.221
alvimana5@psnSpringfield M190315
alvimana5@psnEnvironmental—4
alvimana5@psnEnfield P1413
alvimana5@psnSpringfield M1903A111
erik_umarovSpringfield M1903110
erik_umarovM50 Reising14
erik_umarovM1 Carbine23
erik_umarovSpringfield M1903A111
items/bf_109e_7Environmental [vehicle]—1
items/hurricanemkiiEnvironmental [vehicle]—1
items/potez_633Environmental [vehicle]—2
nz290Springfield M1903126
nz290Springfield M1903A1110
nz290M50 Reising110
nz290Springfield M1903A1 USMC18
nz290Sten Mk II15
nz290TNT charge14
nz290Explosion pack11
o6ha9m5tjxEnvironmental—1
o6ha9m5tjxGewehr 33/4011
rumilgilazev30#112.7 mm M2HB machine gun110
rumilgilazev30#1Springfield M1903A1 USMC16
vanamees_6ja9@psnEnvironmental—1
vanamees_6ja9@psnKar98k11
vanamees_6ja9@psnMP 34(ö)11
z1201Springfield M190316
z1201Springfield M1903A1 USMC14
z1201Artillery13
z1201Sten Mk II13
z1201Boys ATR12
z1201Enfield P1412
z1201Kretz P1322
z1201Springfield M1903A112

Raw stat fields (510 values) — raw JSON

Playerbattle_score ▼battle_timefriendly_fire_squad_spawnskillsdeathskills_by_playersquad_deathsassistsbest_possessed_infantry_killstreakbest_killstreak_riflekills_by_rifle_kindrifle_killsheadshotsbest_killstreak_submachine_gunsubmachine_gun_killskills_by_sniper_kindkills_while_defending_pointkills_while_attacking_pointpoints_capturedkills_by_medic_kindkills_by_anti_tank_kindbest_killstreak_grenadebest_killstreak_meleeengineer_building_usagefortification_destoyedgrenade_killsmelee_killsrallies_builtengineer_rally_point_usagefortification_builtkills_by_engineer_kindkills_by_mgun_kindlong_range_killstank_killsaircraft_killsbest_killstreak_machine_gunbest_killstreak_semiautoeng_forts_destroyedkills_by_assault_kindkills_by_tanker_kindkills_using_aircraftkills_using_tankmachine_gun_killsrallies_destroyedsemiauto_killsartillery_killsbest_killstreak_artillerykills_by_pilot_fighter_kindlauncher_killsbest_possessed_infantry_killstreak_10eng_boxes_destroyedplane_kills_by_pilot_fighter_kindbest_killstreak_pistolcrew_tnt_killsfirst_bloodinfantry_bomb_killsinfantry_mine_killskills_by_pilot_assaulter_kindkills_by_radioman_kindpistol_killsplane_kills_by_sniper_kindplane_kills_by_tanker_kindshotgun_killstank_kills_by_anti_tank_kindtank_kills_by_assault_kindtank_kills_by_medic_kindtank_kills_by_mgun_kindtank_kills_by_tanker_kindtank_spotsvehicle_tnt_kills
TOTAL51569199861466927145381337910512821735094741195384231248375101161222015143734492812561618125870116421424171261022213114151511231111111
EasyLiving8775101671344511171320294801827315743732931135973112113519411151
nz290469510128632758728932415715104432112213611311
Score446390010406343429696217396924422615992612211
MÜller_SS375410208322830866641036108203124243437152111711
_RETRORUSTfather36591110145453335915454511
BbInuJI_3akycu33221018653383853121128393102011913198515581
RIZXXZ30659839375023816113037362321
TheButcher12442455996940433193651322644591012382638311
rumilgilazev30#1224010942146101216663512882
PapaYak200097211465540101651522123142161522148
z120119291062423221633364145335121115312431233111
Zhuofrank18009521132341710144477410381011151145
erik_umarov17701043518221455561011424272623
Gagar11n172097393442319689121339146171511146
alvimana5@psn139041559205533589142
StormMineKay (AI)122446951124644221
MaksMaksPro1191952122374131262314136611212131155333
Caption#47009888174347215916311553
CselRoul69210086123610512455113624131111111111
acopan (AI)54469752262411414
BabbyMoh (AI)4945274101943225
vanamees_6ja9@psn19038632191331111111
o6ha9m5tjx6025321721111