Stalingrad Entrance Invasion (counter) · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 2 match BR
2026-08-25 19:55 start
19:17 length
599 kills
Team 2 winner
Mixed 20 human · 1 console / 19 PC decode: proto 304 · 1516 stat syncs · 732 zone events · 625 soldier mappings · 3817167.8s · game 0.7.5.133
Scoreboard Factions: Axis vs USSR — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 12800 Players Team 2 · score 18568
2 wh1kk 846 ▼ -6 1 45 0 1.0 0 33 0.0 10 2470 11 kbrocov27 (AI) [BOT] 2 4 0 0.0 2 1 0.0 5 348
3 Eledir 786 ▲ +1 2 39 2 2.0 8 1 0.0 1 2647 5 VOS_92 1031 ▼ -2 2 41 1 6.0 0 3 0.0 7 1630 Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths Pre-match odds: 0% / 100% . New players (under 10 rated matches before this one): 7 / 2 . Each one lowers their side's odds. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
Chikenade +17.5 912 → 930 Going in 912 12 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 0.68 of 1.00 39% win chance (1.00) + 61% usual stats at this rating (0.47) Stat line +2.04 Score 0.85 of 1.00 39% result (1) + 61% stats (0.76 ) Surprise +0.17 Ceiling 100.4 pts Change 100.41 × +0.1749 = +17.57 applied: +17.5 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/133.9² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 100.41 change = 100.41 × (0.8512 − 0.6763) = +17.57
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
fruitmaster +5.9 832 → 837 Going in 832 50 rated matches before this, mid-range of 815–978 Expected 0.63 of 1.00 39% win chance (1.00) + 61% usual stats at this rating (0.39) Stat line +1.76 Score 0.83 of 1.00 39% result (1) + 61% stats (0.73 ) Surprise +0.21 Ceiling 28.3 pts Change 28.25 × +0.2067 = +5.84 applied: +5.9 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/71.0² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 28.25 change = 28.25 × (0.8334 − 0.6267) = +5.84
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
RANGSAK07 +5.7 853 → 859 Going in 853 6 rated matches before this, mid-range of 775–925 Expected 0.23 of 1.00 44% win chance (0.00) + 56% usual stats at this rating (0.41) Stat line +0.05 Score 0.28 of 1.00 44% result (0) + 56% stats (0.51 ) Surprise +0.05 Ceiling 151.8 pts Change 151.81 × +0.0536 = +8.14 applied: +5.7 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/163.2² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 151.81 change = 151.81 × (0.2850 − 0.2314) = +8.14
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Eledir +1.3 785 → 786 Going in 785 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200 Expected 0.60 of 1.00 39% win chance (1.00) + 61% usual stats at this rating (0.34) Stat line +8.14 Score 0.96 of 1.00 39% result (1) + 61% stats (0.93 ) Surprise +0.36 Ceiling 3.7 pts Change 3.73 × +0.3576 = +1.33 applied: +1.3 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/25.8² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 3.73 change = 3.73 × (0.9571 − 0.5995) = +1.33
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Hepheisto#1 +1.1 1371 → 1372 Going in 1371 63 rated matches before this, mid-range of 958–1377 Expected 0.95 of 1.00 39% win chance (1.00) + 61% usual stats at this rating (0.92) Stat line +9.43 Score 1.00 of 1.00 39% result (1) + 61% stats (0.99 ) Surprise +0.05 Ceiling 24.4 pts Change 24.41 × +0.0477 = +1.17 applied: +1.1 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/66.0² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 24.41 change = 24.41 × (0.9968 − 0.9491) = +1.17
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Elek7rix +0.9 1233 → 1234 Going in 1233 190 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1075–1275 Expected 0.91 of 1.00 39% win chance (1.00) + 61% usual stats at this rating (0.85) Stat line +13.71 Score 1.00 of 1.00 39% result (1) + 61% stats (1.00 ) Surprise +0.09 Ceiling 9.2 pts Change 9.19 × +0.0921 = +0.85 applied: +0.9 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/40.5² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 9.19 change = 9.19 × (0.9997 − 0.9076) = +0.85
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Skvirtonit#2 +0.5 760 → 760 Going in 760 40 rated matches before this, mid-range of 673–925 Expected 0.59 of 1.00 39% win chance (1.00) + 61% usual stats at this rating (0.32) Stat line -1.00 Score 0.60 of 1.00 39% result (1) + 61% stats (0.35 ) Surprise +0.01 Ceiling 34.5 pts Change 34.53 × +0.0140 = +0.48 applied: +0.5 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/78.5² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 34.53 change = 34.53 × (0.6007 − 0.5867) = +0.48
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Kalmusov -0.4 624 → 624 Going in 624 183 rated matches before this, mid-range of 622–963 Expected 0.13 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.00) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.22) Stat line -3.03 Score 0.09 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.16 ) Surprise -0.04 Ceiling 8.4 pts Change 8.42 × -0.0405 = -0.34 applied: -0.4 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/38.4² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 8.42 change = 8.42 × (0.0940 − 0.1345) = -0.34
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
VOS_92 -1.9 1033 → 1031 Going in 1033 89 rated matches before this, mid-range of 803–1054 Expected 0.76 of 1.00 39% win chance (1.00) + 61% usual stats at this rating (0.61) Stat line -0.44 Score 0.66 of 1.00 39% result (1) + 61% stats (0.44 ) Surprise -0.10 Ceiling 19.0 pts Change 18.98 × -0.1043 = -1.98 applied: -1.9 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/58.2² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 18.98 change = 18.98 × (0.6582 − 0.7625) = -1.98
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
wh1kk -5.6 852 → 846 Going in 852 15 rated matches before this, mid-range of 837–996 Expected 0.25 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.00) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.41) Stat line -0.92 Score 0.19 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.32 ) Surprise -0.05 Ceiling 105.5 pts Change 105.47 × -0.0530 = -5.59 applied: -5.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/136.0² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 105.47 change = 105.47 × (0.1930 − 0.2460) = -5.59
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
darratchul -49.8 850 → 800 Going in 850 2 rated matches before this Expected 0.20 of 1.00 51% win chance (0.00) + 49% usual stats at this rating (0.41) Stat line -5.93 Score 0.02 of 1.00 51% result (0) + 49% stats (0.04 ) Surprise -0.18 Ceiling 273.8 pts Change 273.80 × -0.1819 = -49.81 applied: -49.8 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/219.3² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 273.80 change = 273.80 × (0.0174 − 0.1993) = -49.81
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
THE_RED_FOX -54.8 850 → 795 Going in 850 2 rated matches before this Expected 0.71 of 1.00 50% win chance (1.00) + 50% usual stats at this rating (0.41) Stat line -2.72 Score 0.59 of 1.00 50% result (1) + 50% stats (0.18 ) Surprise -0.11 Ceiling 492.3 pts Change 492.29 × -0.1114 = -54.82 applied: -54.8 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/297.0² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 492.29 change = 492.29 × (0.5941 − 0.7055) = -54.82
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
J3nnyTalia -59.7 841 → 781 Going in 841 3 rated matches before this Expected 0.20 of 1.00 51% win chance (0.00) + 49% usual stats at this rating (0.40) Stat line -5.27 Score 0.02 of 1.00 51% result (0) + 49% stats (0.05 ) Surprise -0.17 Ceiling 350.5 pts Change 350.48 × -0.1703 = -59.70 applied: -59.7 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/248.2² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 350.48 change = 350.48 × (0.0247 − 0.1950) = -59.70
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Just1FarFadet -68.9 988 → 920 Going in 988 7 rated matches before this, mid-range of 925–1064 Expected 0.74 of 1.00 41% win chance (1.00) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.55) Stat line -5.74 Score 0.43 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (0.04 ) Surprise -0.30 Ceiling 227.8 pts Change 227.81 × -0.3026 = -68.94 applied: -68.9 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9738² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,921,613 ceiling = Q / (1/201.8² + 1/19,921,613) × 0.9738 = 227.81 change = 227.81 × (0.4326 − 0.7352) = -68.94
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
BAHRAM#2 -75.0 1000 → 925 Going in 1000 first rated match Expected 0.26 of 1.00 55% win chance (0.00) + 45% usual stats at this rating (0.57) Stat line -4.89 Score 0.03 of 1.00 55% result (0) + 45% stats (0.06 ) Surprise -0.23 Ceiling 806.1 pts Change 806.10 × -0.2283 = -184.01 applied: -75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/377.2² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 806.10 change = 806.10 × (0.0278 − 0.2561) = -184.01
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ESPRESSO#1 -75.0 1000 → 925 Going in 1000 first rated match Expected 0.26 of 1.00 55% win chance (0.00) + 45% usual stats at this rating (0.57) Stat line -6.55 Score 0.01 of 1.00 55% result (0) + 45% stats (0.03 ) Surprise -0.24 Ceiling 806.1 pts Change 806.10 × -0.2446 = -197.15 applied: -75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/377.2² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 806.10 change = 806.10 × (0.0115 − 0.2561) = -197.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
HaciAhmet44@psn -75.0 973 → 898 Going in 973 2 rated matches before this Expected 0.26 of 1.00 51% win chance (0.00) + 49% usual stats at this rating (0.54) Stat line -4.49 Score 0.04 of 1.00 51% result (0) + 49% stats (0.08 ) Surprise -0.22 Ceiling 386.5 pts Change 386.54 × -0.2249 = -86.94 applied: -75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/260.7² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 386.54 change = 386.54 × (0.0371 − 0.2620) = -86.94
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
koolmint -75.0 925 → 850 Going in 925 1 rated match before this Expected 0.23 of 1.00 53% win chance (0.00) + 47% usual stats at this rating (0.48) Stat line -5.37 Score 0.02 of 1.00 53% result (0) + 47% stats (0.05 ) Surprise -0.21 Ceiling 643.3 pts Change 643.25 × -0.2052 = -132.02 applied: -75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9915² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 19,216,691 ceiling = Q / (1/336.7² + 1/19,216,691) × 0.9915 = 643.25 change = 643.25 × (0.0226 − 0.2278) = -132.02
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures no captures recorded
Weapon breakdown Raw stat fields (454 values) — raw JSON