Tunisia CityInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 3match BR
start
15:48length
813kills
Team 1winner
Mixed20 human · 2 console / 18 PC decode: proto 308 · 2334 stat syncs · 518 zone events · 778 soldier mappings · 7549699.17s · game 0.7.6.56
Scoreboard
Factions: Axis vs Western Allies — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 36946PlayersTeam 2 · score 20937
2serg_ky1498▲ +135107.024250.0113016 8kmehes712▼ -122813.0090.081280 Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths
Pre-match odds: 93% / 7%. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
oHakureio+1.3705 → 706
- 705 180 rated matches before this, mid-range of 664–1118
- 7% win chance
- +0.82
- 0.32 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.63)
- +0.25
- 10.8 pts
- 10.79 × +0.2469 = +2.66 applied: +1.3
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/43.4² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 10.79
change = 10.79 × (0.3169 − 0.0700) = +2.66
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
CPL_Napalm+1.21444 → 1445
- 1444 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 7% win chance
- +7.64
- 0.50 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.99)
- +0.43
- 6.1 pts
- 6.06 × +0.4270 = +2.59 applied: +1.2
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/32.5² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 6.06
change = 6.06 × (0.4970 − 0.0700) = +2.59
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
serg_ky+1.21497 → 1498
- 1497 200 rated matches before this, its highest yet
- 7% win chance
- +2.17
- 0.40 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.81)
- +0.33
- 7.1 pts
- 7.15 × +0.3345 = +2.39 applied: +1.2
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/35.3² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 7.15
change = 7.15 × (0.4045 − 0.0700) = +2.39
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
skin53274+1.1402 → 403
- 402 173 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 7% win chance
- +1.48
- 0.36 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.73)
- +0.29
- 6.9 pts
- 6.95 × +0.2945 = +2.05 applied: +1.1
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/34.8² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 6.95
change = 6.95 × (0.3645 − 0.0700) = +2.05
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
maximus_163_+0.4200 → 200
- 200 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
- 7% win chance
- -0.65
- 0.18 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.37)
- +0.11
- 6.4 pts
- 6.44 × +0.1138 = +0.73 applied: +0.4
- gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/33.5² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 6.44
change = 6.44 × (0.1838 − 0.0700) = +0.73
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
дыгестанъжыест+0.31191 → 1191
- 1191 89 rated matches before this, mid-range of 998–1194
- 93% win chance
- +3.79
- 0.95 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.93)
- +0.02
- 16.5 pts
- 16.51 × +0.0221 = +0.36 applied: +0.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/53.8² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 16.51
change = 16.51 × (0.9521 − 0.9300) = +0.36
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
就愛吃超大雞雞+0.21658 → 1658
- 1658 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 93% win chance
- +8.12
- 1.00 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (1.00)
- +0.07
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × +0.0671 = +0.26 applied: +0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.9971 − 0.9300) = +0.26
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Satsugai+0.11937 → 1937
- 1937 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
- 93% win chance
- +3.95
- 0.96 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.93)
- +0.03
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × +0.0268 = +0.10 applied: +0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.9568 − 0.9300) = +0.10
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
zielonysnajper+0.11342 → 1342
- 1342 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1031–1344 over the last 200
- 93% win chance
- +3.67
- 0.95 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.92)
- +0.02
- 6.3 pts
- 6.27 × +0.0184 = +0.12 applied: +0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/33.1² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 6.27
change = 6.27 × (0.9484 − 0.9300) = +0.12
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
FeldmarschallSS-0.1727 → 727
- 727 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 603–728 over the last 200
- 93% win chance
- +2.41
- 0.89 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.83)
- -0.04
- 4.0 pts
- 4.02 × -0.0379 = -0.15 applied: -0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/26.5² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 4.02
change = 4.02 × (0.8921 − 0.9300) = -0.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
DarkHawk-0.21406 → 1406
- 1406 130 rated matches before this, mid-range of 952–1411
- 7% win chance
- -3.44
- 0.05 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.09)
- -0.02
- 10.0 pts
- 9.96 × -0.0241 = -0.24 applied: -0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/41.7² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 9.96
change = 9.96 × (0.0459 − 0.0700) = -0.24
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
rifleman12-0.5502 → 502
- 502 169 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
- 7% win chance
- -5.41
- 0.01 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.03)
- -0.06
- 8.2 pts
- 8.23 × -0.0568 = -0.47 applied: -0.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/37.9² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 8.23
change = 8.23 × (0.0132 − 0.0700) = -0.47
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
kmehes-0.8713 → 712
- 713 69 rated matches before this, mid-range of 630–900
- 7% win chance
- -4.28
- 0.03 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.05)
- -0.04
- 19.7 pts
- 19.74 × -0.0427 = -0.84 applied: -0.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/58.8² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 19.74
change = 19.74 × (0.0273 − 0.0700) = -0.84
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
yabawiman-0.8892 → 891
- 892 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 889–931 over the last 200
- 93% win chance
- +8.62
- 0.73 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.58)
- -0.20
- 3.8 pts
- 3.81 × -0.1982 = -0.76 applied: -0.8
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 3.81
change = 3.81 × (0.7318 − 0.9300) = -0.76
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
MamkinVoiaka3000-2.1781 → 779
- 781 14 rated matches before this, mid-range of 714–957
- 7% win chance
- -3.35
- 0.05 of 1.00 50% result (0) + 50% stats (0.10)
- -0.02
- 96.9 pts
- 96.86 × -0.0215 = -2.08 applied: -2.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/132.2² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 96.86
change = 96.86 × (0.0485 − 0.0700) = -2.08
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
BigWeenie-4.2996 → 991
- 996 187 rated matches before this, mid-range of 950–1124
- 93% win chance
- -5.48
- 0.37 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.03)
- -0.56
- 7.4 pts
- 7.42 × -0.5589 = -4.15 applied: -4.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/36.0² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 7.42
change = 7.42 × (0.3711 − 0.9300) = -4.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
heavymetal666-5.21058 → 1052
- 1058 140 rated matches before this, mid-range of 900–1088
- 93% win chance
- -2.73
- 0.44 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.14)
- -0.49
- 10.6 pts
- 10.62 × -0.4854 = -5.15 applied: -5.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/43.1² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 10.62
change = 10.62 × (0.4446 − 0.9300) = -5.15
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
FredrickZollеr-11.1698 → 687
- 698 53 rated matches before this, mid-range of 622–943
- 93% win chance
- -1.60
- 0.52 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.25)
- -0.41
- 26.7 pts
- 26.74 × -0.4134 = -11.05 applied: -11.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/68.6² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 26.74
change = 26.74 × (0.5166 − 0.9300) = -11.05
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Blazej_733@psn-11.21010 → 999
- 1010 6 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1004–1102
- 7% win chance
- -9.39
- 0.00 of 1.00 58% result (0) + 42% stats (0.00)
- -0.07
- 162.9 pts
- 162.93 × -0.0692 = -11.27 applied: -11.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9990² × 0.0700 × (1−0.0700)) = 464,490
ceiling = / (1/173.7² + 1/464,490) × 0.9990 = 162.93
change = 162.93 × (0.0008 − 0.0700) = -11.27
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
SSRBama-kai@psn-19.3909 → 890
- 909 28 rated matches before this, mid-range of 835–1111
- 93% win chance
- +0.30
- 0.47 of 1.00 35% result (1) + 65% stats (0.18)
- -0.46
- 42.2 pts
- 42.16 × -0.4569 = -19.26 applied: -19.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9969² × 0.9300 × (1−0.9300)) = 466,449
ceiling = / (1/86.4² + 1/466,449) × 0.9969 = 42.16
change = 42.16 × (0.4731 − 0.9300) = -19.26
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures
Weapon breakdown
Raw stat fields (636 values) — raw JSON