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Ardennes WinterInvasion · invasion · SQUADS · standard
BR 3match BR
start
14:17length
539kills
Western Allieswinner
Mixed20 human · 8 console / 12 PC
Download replayofficial .erpl · ~40-180 MB
Top-down replay2D playback · built on request

decode: proto 308 · 1747 stat syncs · 710 zone events · 568 soldier mappings · 136277.08s · game 0.7.6.67

Scoreboard

Western Allies · score 29696PlayersAxis · score 13063
Western AlliesELOBR
1FujiminoErekiman@psn864▼ -336015.00520.034701
2为了最终胜利115433515.01164.023844
3WalkingDezaster118234702.05252.013251
4Akkoro114334623.03250.013173
5awake-waders7@psn81132308.03233.033155
6Bigherm334205@live460▲ +1611507.0085.052755
7CAhayaAR@live82833312.03102.032653
8_RAZEN_BLADE_75322303.06142.042481
9ItsJohn17@psn393▼ -231014.0552.051823
10Omebutper (AI)[BOT]—1103.0072.061450
11dergey15 (AI)[BOT]—300.0030.01190
12DogGene (AI)[BOT]—201.0020.01140
13haymminor (AI)[BOT]—101.0010.0180
14Chin19741219——000.0000.000
15Gabback (AI)[BOT]—000.0000.010
AxisELOBR
1台风一号88632023.01490.042408
2Nastya163TLT357▲ +422522.00120.081705
3Storm0470631134.02470.081685
4SwiftyTS596▼ -3423701.00120.061590
5jasonpak2530406▼ -131901.0660.001208
6Bell#78626▼ -122102.01050.031058
7ChezBurger4543@live587▼ -7512501.0070.091010
8ltflame3731@live736▼ -131401.0090.03895
9danieltraviezoca#150131504.0040.04650
10XikoPato4722@live2003801.0020.02330
11Valeda15740 (AI)[BOT]—300.0020.04150
12Danter122 (AI)[BOT]—201.0010.01110
13AnkaSavane (AI)[BOT]—201.0000.0680
14sagaczer2010 (AI)[BOT]—200.0000.0164
15OlliaMontarnt (AI)[BOT]—200.0000.0160
16s51ntbj4zx (AI)[BOT]—100.0010.0160
17Polerayy (AI)[BOT]—000.0000.010

Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.

Rating maths

Pre-match odds: 100% / 0%. New players (under 10 rated matches before this one): 1 / 3. Each one lowers their side's odds. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.

Full formula →

Bigherm334205@live+15.7444 → 460
444 7 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
0.64 of 1.00 51% win chance (1.00) + 49% usual stats at this rating (0.26)
-0.59
0.71 of 1.00 51% result (1) + 49% stats (0.42)
+0.08
200.9 pts
200.86 × +0.0781 = +15.69 applied: +15.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/187.7² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 200.86
change = 200.86 × (0.7133 − 0.6352) = +15.69

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Nastya163TLT+4.5352 → 357
352 36 rated matches before this, mid-range of 290–738
0.12 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.00) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.20)
-0.33
0.23 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.38)
+0.10
61.4 pts
61.44 × +0.1047 = +6.43 applied: +4.5
gain capped (you cannot climb by losing)
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/103.4² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 61.44
change = 61.44 × (0.2275 − 0.1228) = +6.43

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

awake-waders7@psn+0.3811 → 811
811 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
0.82 of 1.00 49% win chance (1.00) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.65)
+1.95
0.87 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.75)
+0.05
5.6 pts
5.60 × +0.0504 = +0.28 applied: +0.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/31.3² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 5.60
change = 5.60 × (0.8714 − 0.8210) = +0.28

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

CAhayaAR@live+0.2828 → 828
828 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 788–832 over the last 200
0.83 of 1.00 49% win chance (1.00) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.67)
+1.80
0.86 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.73)
+0.03
5.1 pts
5.14 × +0.0296 = +0.15 applied: +0.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/30.0² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 5.14
change = 5.14 × (0.8629 − 0.8333) = +0.15

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

WalkingDezaster+0.11182 → 1182
1182 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
0.96 of 1.00 49% win chance (1.00) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.93)
+6.85
0.99 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.98)
+0.03
3.8 pts
3.80 × +0.0265 = +0.10 applied: +0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 3.80
change = 3.80 × (0.9889 − 0.9624) = +0.10

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

_RAZEN_BLADE_+0.0753 → 753
753 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 705–790 over the last 200
0.78 of 1.00 49% win chance (1.00) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.57)
+0.63
0.79 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.59)
+0.01
6.9 pts
6.88 × +0.0096 = +0.07 applied: +0.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/34.7² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 6.88
change = 6.88 × (0.7896 − 0.7800) = +0.07

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

XikoPato4722@live+0.0200 → 200
200 200+ rated matches before this, its lowest in the last 200
0.08 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.00) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.14)
-7.74
0.01 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.01)
-0.08
3.8 pts
3.83 × -0.0751 = -0.29 applied: +0.0
raised to the rating floor
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 3.83
change = 3.83 × (0.0068 − 0.0819) = -0.29

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

danieltraviezoca#1+0.0501 → 501
501 40 rated matches before this, mid-range of 496–596
0% win chance
+4.31
0.00 of 1.00 left more than a minute after first spawning: a loss, stats not used
-0.00
23.1 pts
23.11 × -0.0016 = -0.04 applied: +0.0
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/63.4² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 23.11
change = 23.11 × (0.0000 − 0.0016) = -0.04

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

为了最终胜利-0.11154 → 1154
1154 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
0.96 of 1.00 49% win chance (1.00) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.92)
+4.00
0.95 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.90)
-0.01
7.2 pts
7.20 × -0.0096 = -0.07 applied: -0.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/35.5² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 7.20
change = 7.20 × (0.9501 − 0.9597) = -0.07

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

台风一号-0.4886 → 886
886 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 881–894 over the last 200
0.45 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.00) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.75)
+0.63
0.35 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.59)
-0.10
3.8 pts
3.83 × -0.0957 = -0.37 applied: -0.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/25.8² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 3.83
change = 3.83 × (0.3520 − 0.4477) = -0.37

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Storm04-0.5706 → 706
706 185 rated matches before this, mid-range of 697–1109
0.31 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.00) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.51)
-0.21
0.26 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.44)
-0.04
9.8 pts
9.81 × -0.0449 = -0.44 applied: -0.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/41.3² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 9.81
change = 9.81 × (0.2641 − 0.3090) = -0.44

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Akkoro-0.51143 → 1143
1143 167 rated matches before this, mid-range of 972–1358
0.96 of 1.00 49% win chance (1.00) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.92)
+2.69
0.91 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.82)
-0.05
11.2 pts
11.21 × -0.0514 = -0.58 applied: -0.5
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/44.3² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 11.21
change = 11.21 × (0.9068 − 0.9582) = -0.58

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

jasonpak2530-1.1407 → 406
407 126 rated matches before this, its lowest yet
0.14 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.00) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.24)
-3.24
0.07 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.12)
-0.07
16.1 pts
16.09 × -0.0706 = -1.14 applied: -1.1
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/52.9² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 16.09
change = 16.09 × (0.0733 − 0.1439) = -1.14

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Bell#78-1.2627 → 626
627 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200
0.26 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.00) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.43)
-4.03
0.05 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.09)
-0.20
6.1 pts
6.07 × -0.2023 = -1.23 applied: -1.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/32.5² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 6.07
change = 6.07 × (0.0538 − 0.2561) = -1.23

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

ltflame3731@live-1.3738 → 736
738 1 rated match before this
0% win chance
-0.62
0.00 of 1.00 left more than a minute after first spawning: a loss, stats not used
-0.00
810.7 pts
810.74 × -0.0016 = -1.30 applied: -1.3
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/376.9² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 810.74
change = 810.74 × (0.0000 − 0.0016) = -1.30

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

ItsJohn17@psn-2.2395 → 393
395 36 rated matches before this, mid-range of 394–705
0.61 of 1.00 49% win chance (1.00) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.23)
-3.26
0.56 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.13)
-0.05
42.6 pts
42.62 × -0.0507 = -2.16 applied: -2.2
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/86.4² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 42.62
change = 42.62 × (0.5567 − 0.6074) = -2.16

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

FujiminoErekiman@psn-2.7866 → 864
866 95 rated matches before this, mid-range of 861–1075
0.86 of 1.00 49% win chance (1.00) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.72)
-0.65
0.70 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.41)
-0.16
17.2 pts
17.21 × -0.1585 = -2.73 applied: -2.7
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9922² × 0.9984 × (1−0.9984)) = 19,189,586
ceiling = / (1/54.9² + 1/19,189,586) × 0.9922 = 17.21
change = 17.21 × (0.6997 − 0.8582) = -2.73

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

SwiftyTS-34.4630 → 596
630 2 rated matches before this
0.20 of 1.00 53% win chance (0.00) + 47% usual stats at this rating (0.43)
-2.15
0.11 of 1.00 53% result (0) + 47% stats (0.23)
-0.09
370.3 pts
370.30 × -0.0930 = -34.44 applied: -34.4
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/254.2² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 370.30
change = 370.30 × (0.1089 − 0.2019) = -34.44

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

ChezBurger4543@live-75.0662 → 587
662 1 rated match before this
0.22 of 1.00 53% win chance (0.00) + 47% usual stats at this rating (0.46)
-3.86
0.05 of 1.00 53% result (0) + 47% stats (0.11)
-0.17
788.7 pts
788.69 × -0.1685 = -132.90 applied: -75.0
limited by the placement cap
Show the arithmetic
= 1 / (² × 0.9989² × 0.0016 × (1−0.0016)) = 18,933,026
ceiling = / (1/371.7² + 1/18,933,026) × 0.9989 = 788.69
change = 788.69 × (0.0493 − 0.2178) = -132.90

The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →

Captures

Time ▲ZoneTeamSoldiersCredited players
4:27sector_1_aWestern Allies17为了最终胜利, Bigherm334205@live, CAhayaAR@live, _RAZEN_BLADE_
7:57sector_2_aWestern Allies12为了最终胜利, Omebutper, Bigherm334205@live
10:41sector_3_aWestern Allies9为了最终胜利, ItsJohn17@psn, awake-waders7@psn, Bigherm334205@live, CAhayaAR@live
11:57sector_4_aWestern Allies7WalkingDezaster, awake-waders7@psn, Bigherm334205@live, _RAZEN_BLADE_
14:08sector_5_aWestern Allies7为了最终胜利, WalkingDezaster, Omebutper, awake-waders7@psn, Bigherm334205@live

Weapon breakdown

Player ▲WeaponBRKills
Environmental—2
Akkoro12.7 mm M2HB machine gun132
AkkoroWinchester M190737
Akkoro20 mm Polsten cannon15
AkkoroThompson .30 cal SMG34
AnkaSavaneMP 2811
AnkaSavanePre-war Kar98k21
Bell#78Artillery16
Bell#78MG 1325
Bell#78Breda Mod. 3024
Bell#78Pre-war Kar98k22
Bell#7820 mm KwK 30 cannon11
Bell#78Armaguerra Mod. 3921
Bell#78M24 grenade11
Bell#78Mannlicher M189521
Bigherm334205@liveM3 field modification17
Bigherm334205@liveSpringfield M190316
Bigherm334205@liveM50 Reising12
CAhayaAR@live12.7 mm M2HB machine gun110
CAhayaAR@liveBrowning M1918A139
CAhayaAR@liveSMLE Mk III26
CAhayaAR@liveM1 Garand35
CAhayaAR@liveLee-Enfield No.4 Mk I22
CAhayaAR@liveSpringfield M1903A422
ChezBurger4543@liveGewehr 33/40110
ChezBurger4543@liveKar98k (D)19
ChezBurger4543@liveKar98k with scope mount14
ChezBurger4543@liveKar98k11
ChezBurger4543@liveMP 34(ö)11
Danter122Pre-war Kar98k with scope mount22
DogGeneEnfield P1411
DogGeneSMLE Mk III21
FujiminoErekiman@psn75 mm M3 cannon158
FujiminoErekiman@psn7.62 mm M1919A4 machine gun13
ItsJohn17@psnM1 Garand35
ItsJohn17@psnExplosion pack14
ItsJohn17@psnM1 Carbine22
Nastya163TLT75 mm KwK 37 cannon17
Nastya163TLTKar98k with scope mount14
Nastya163TLTKar98k Kriegsmodell (D)13
Nastya163TLTKar98k13
Nastya163TLTKar98k (D)13
Nastya163TLTBreda Mod. 3022
Nastya163TLTGewehr 33/4012
Nastya163TLTCarcano M41 (D)11
Nastya163TLTExplosion pack11
Nastya163TLTMP 34(ö)11
OlliaMontarntArmaguerra Mod. 3921
OlliaMontarntVG.221
OmebutperLanchester23
OmebutperSMLE Mk III22
OmebutperSten Mk II12
OmebutperSpringfield M190311
OmebutperM1917 Enfield11
OmebutperM1A1 Thompson21
OmebutperOwen Mk I21
Storm04250 kg SC250JA bomb17
Storm04VG 1-533
Storm04Environmental—2
Storm047.92 mm FN Browning machine gun12
Storm04Gewehr 4131
Storm04MP 4021
SwiftyTSGewehr 33/40120
SwiftyTSPre-war Kar98k211
SwiftyTSKar98k with scope mount14
SwiftyTSKar98k12
Valeda15740Beretta M191822
Valeda15740Explosion pack11
Valeda15740Gewehr 33/4011
WalkingDezasterLee-Enfield No.4 Mk I (T)325
WalkingDezasterSMLE Mk III (T)314
WalkingDezasterW.A.R.34
WalkingDezasterWinchester M190732
WalkingDezasterAnti-personnel mine11
WalkingDezasterM1 Garand31
XikoPato4722@liveVG 1-534
XikoPato4722@liveFNAB-4323
XikoPato4722@liveEnvironmental—1
XikoPato4722@liveBeretta M191821
_RAZEN_BLADE_M1A1 Thompson223
awake-waders7@psnM1 Garand310
awake-waders7@psnM1A1 flamethrower37
awake-waders7@psn500 lb AN-M64A1 bomb13
awake-waders7@psnEnvironmental—1
awake-waders7@psnArtillery11
awake-waders7@psnAnti-personnel mine11
danieltraviezoca#1Artillery15
danieltraviezoca#1Beretta M191825
danieltraviezoca#1MG 1323
danieltraviezoca#1Pre-war Kar98k21
danieltraviezoca#1Pre-war Kar98k with scope mount21
dergey15Bren Mk I22
dergey15Ross Mk III rifle21
haymminorOwen Mk I21
items/bf_109f_2Environmental [vehicle]—1
items/iar_81cEnvironmental [vehicle]—1
jasonpak2530Gewehr 33/4017
jasonpak2530Kar98k15
jasonpak2530Artillery14
jasonpak2530Environmental—2
jasonpak2530VG.221
ltflame3731@liveMannlicher M189526
ltflame3731@live250 kg SC250JA bomb14
ltflame3731@liveCarcano M41 (D)13
ltflame3731@liveMP 3821
s51ntbj4zxSniper Carcano Mod. 38 (7.35mm)11
sagaczer2010Mannlicher M189521
sagaczer2010MAS-3611
为了最终胜利M1 Garand39
为了最终胜利Carcano M4115
为了最终胜利75 mm M3 cannon14
为了最终胜利Beretta M38A14
为了最终胜利M9 Bazooka34
为了最终胜利Artillery13
为了最终胜利M1928A1 Thompson32
为了最终胜利Winchester M190732
为了最终胜利Environmental—1
为了最终胜利7.62 mm M1919A4 machine gun11
为了最终胜利Gewehr 33/4011
台风一号Gewehr 41310
台风一号250 kg SC250JA bomb16
台风一号Armaguerra Mod. 3925
台风一号Environmental—2
台风一号7.92 mm MG 17 machine gun11

Raw stat fields (590 values) — raw JSON

Playerbattle_timedeathsfriendly_fire_squad_spawnssquad_deathsbattle_score ▼killskills_by_playerbest_possessed_infantry_killstreakassistsheadshotskills_while_attacking_pointkills_while_defending_pointkills_by_rifle_kindbest_killstreak_riflekills_by_engineer_kindrifle_killsbest_killstreak_semiautobest_killstreak_submachine_gunengineer_building_usagefortification_builtlong_range_killsrallies_builtsemiauto_killssubmachine_gun_killsengineer_rally_point_usagepoints_capturedfortification_destoyedeng_forts_destroyedkills_by_assault_kindkills_by_mgun_kindkills_by_sniper_kindtank_killsartillery_killsbest_killstreak_artillerybest_killstreak_machine_gunkills_by_anti_tank_kindkills_by_radioman_kindkills_using_tankmachine_gun_killsaircraft_killskills_by_tanker_kindrallies_destroyedbest_killstreak_grenadebest_possessed_infantry_killstreak_10grenade_killskills_by_apc_driver_kindkills_using_aircrafttank_spotsapc_killsbest_killstreak_meleecrew_bomb_killseng_boxes_destroyedinfantry_mine_killsinfantry_squad_wipeoutkills_by_medic_kindkills_by_partisan_kindkills_by_pilot_assaulter_kindkills_by_pilot_fighter_kindmelee_killstank_commander_killstank_kills_by_tanker_kindvehicle_bomb_killsapc_kills_by_engineer_kindapc_spotsbest_killstreak_flamethrowerengineer_ammo_box_usagefirst_bloodflamethrower_killsinfantry_bomb_killskills_by_biker_kindkills_by_engineer_buildingskills_by_flametrooper_kindlauncher_killsowned_mobile_spawn_usageplane_kills_by_mgun_kindplane_kills_by_pilot_assaulter_kindplane_kills_by_pilot_fighter_kindplane_kills_by_tanker_kindtank_kills_by_anti_tank_kindtank_kills_by_biker_kindtank_kills_by_pilot_assaulter_kindtank_kills_by_pilot_fighter_kind
TOTAL1477952211499427595164401196643191779811470163453040402418675524221912333662722192016141152647444352613322102221181092233118118431173311111111
FujiminoErekiman@psn7761143470160605252311606011111
为了最终胜利777133238443532175516226369411111641214435511131
WalkingDezaster7738213251474414262539539314723121153641411
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