Stalingrad Entrance Confrontation · confrontation · SQUADS · standard
BR 5 match BR
2026-09-15 20:32 start
10:22 length
448 kills
Team 1 winner
Mixed 23 human · 1 console / 22 PC decode: proto 304 · 1455 stat syncs · 316 zone events · 494 soldier mappings · 6077501.82s · game 0.7.5.136
Scoreboard Factions: Axis vs USSR — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 19593 Players Team 2 · score 11391
1 G36#4 1245 ▲ +1 5 35 2 4.0 5 14 2.0 4 2906 1 davi02 1071 ▲ +1 5 35 2 2.0 8 13 0.0 3 2190 4 Aad#5 757 ▲ +2 5 12 0 2.0 19 3 0.0 3 1078 6 peco13 767 ▼ -6 5 17 0 2.0 1 10 0.0 4 929 8 Laky_S 814 ▼ -3 5 18 0 5.0 1 2 0.0 4 800 12 djhhad92517 (AI) [BOT] — 0 0 0.0 0 0 0.0 1 0
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths Pre-match odds: 97% / 3% . New players (under 10 rated matches before this one): 1 / 1 . Each one lowers their side's odds. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
Cholas321 +27.2 1113 → 1140 Going in 1113 3 rated matches before this Expected 0.80 of 1.00 52% win chance (0.97) + 48% usual stats at this rating (0.63) Stat line +2.57 Score 0.91 of 1.00 52% result (1) + 48% stats (0.81 ) Surprise +0.10 Ceiling 264.9 pts Change 264.88 × +0.1029 = +27.25 applied: +27.2 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/220.0² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 264.88 change = 264.88 × (0.9068 − 0.8039) = +27.25
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Aad#5 +2.0 755 → 757 Going in 755 166 rated matches before this, mid-range of 700–925 Expected 0.17 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.03) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.27) Stat line +2.51 Score 0.48 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.80 ) Surprise +0.31 Ceiling 9.2 pts Change 9.16 × +0.3074 = +2.82 applied: +2.0 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/40.0² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 9.16 change = 9.16 × (0.4807 − 0.1733) = +2.82
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
tenor1234 +1.5 1071 → 1072 Going in 1071 101 rated matches before this, mid-range of 978–1132 Expected 0.36 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.03) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.57) Stat line +2.85 Score 0.50 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.83 ) Surprise +0.14 Ceiling 15.6 pts Change 15.65 × +0.1420 = +2.22 applied: +1.5 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/52.3² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 15.65 change = 15.65 × (0.4980 − 0.3560) = +2.22
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Komendor93 +1.5 917 → 918 Going in 917 103 rated matches before this, mid-range of 866–996 Expected 0.65 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.41) Stat line +0.44 Score 0.74 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (0.55 ) Surprise +0.09 Ceiling 15.2 pts Change 15.24 × +0.0946 = +1.44 applied: +1.5 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/51.6² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 15.24 change = 15.24 × (0.7449 − 0.6503) = +1.44
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
G36#4 +1.1 1244 → 1245 Going in 1244 133 rated matches before this, its highest yet Expected 0.87 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.79) Stat line +4.91 Score 0.96 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (0.94 ) Surprise +0.10 Ceiling 11.5 pts Change 11.54 × +0.0957 = +1.10 applied: +1.1 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/44.9² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 11.54 change = 11.54 × (0.9650 − 0.8693) = +1.10
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
davi02 +1.0 1070 → 1071 Going in 1070 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 980–1074 over the last 200 Expected 0.36 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.03) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.57) Stat line +6.25 Score 0.58 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.97 ) Surprise +0.23 Ceiling 6.1 pts Change 6.13 × +0.2267 = +1.39 applied: +1.0 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/32.7² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 6.13 change = 6.13 × (0.5820 − 0.3553) = +1.39
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
JUJU21700 +1.0 820 → 821 Going in 820 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 815–840 over the last 200 Expected 0.60 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.32) Stat line +1.48 Score 0.81 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (0.67 ) Surprise +0.21 Ceiling 4.7 pts Change 4.69 × +0.2103 = +0.99 applied: +1.0 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/28.6² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 4.69 change = 4.69 × (0.8100 − 0.5997) = +0.99
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Mick#38 +0.7 1105 → 1106 Going in 1105 191 rated matches before this, mid-range of 859–1123 Expected 0.77 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.62) Stat line +1.82 Score 0.85 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (0.73 ) Surprise +0.08 Ceiling 8.6 pts Change 8.63 × +0.0807 = +0.70 applied: +0.7 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/38.8² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 8.63 change = 8.63 × (0.8482 − 0.7675) = +0.70
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Spin_o_Griz +0.6 1050 → 1051 Going in 1050 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 932–1064 over the last 200 Expected 0.34 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.03) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.55) Stat line +1.99 Score 0.45 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.75 ) Surprise +0.11 Ceiling 7.6 pts Change 7.63 × +0.1095 = +0.84 applied: +0.6 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/36.5² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 7.63 change = 7.63 × (0.4509 − 0.3414) = +0.84
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Hepheisto#1 +0.4 1394 → 1395 Going in 1394 136 rated matches before this, mid-range of 958–1404 Expected 0.93 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.90) Stat line +5.25 Score 0.97 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (0.95 ) Surprise +0.04 Ceiling 11.9 pts Change 11.91 × +0.0391 = +0.47 applied: +0.4 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/45.6² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 11.91 change = 11.91 × (0.9707 − 0.9316) = +0.47
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
STAV2699 +0.3 1115 → 1115 Going in 1115 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1037–1116 over the last 200 Expected 0.77 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.63) Stat line +1.47 Score 0.83 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (0.69 ) Surprise +0.05 Ceiling 5.0 pts Change 4.99 × +0.0505 = +0.25 applied: +0.3 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/29.5² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 4.99 change = 4.99 × (0.8254 − 0.7749) = +0.25
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Mephistophele237 +0.2 1613 → 1613 Going in 1613 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 1612–1643 over the last 200 Expected 0.95 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.94) Stat line +9.70 Score 1.00 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (1.00 ) Surprise +0.04 Ceiling 4.1 pts Change 4.12 × +0.0449 = +0.19 applied: +0.2 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/26.8² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 4.12 change = 4.12 × (0.9974 − 0.9525) = +0.19
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Abdurahman14447 -0.3 501 → 500 Going in 501 200+ rated matches before this, its highest in the last 200 Expected 0.50 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.14) Stat line -6.08 Score 0.45 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (0.03 ) Surprise -0.05 Ceiling 5.2 pts Change 5.23 × -0.0523 = -0.27 applied: -0.3 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/30.2² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 5.23 change = 5.23 × (0.4455 − 0.4978) = -0.27
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Igrau_radi_fana -1.3 881 → 880 Going in 881 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 819–882 over the last 200 Expected 0.24 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.03) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.38) Stat line -5.42 Score 0.03 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.05 ) Surprise -0.21 Ceiling 5.9 pts Change 5.94 × -0.2096 = -1.25 applied: -1.3 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/32.2² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 5.94 change = 5.94 × (0.0282 − 0.2378) = -1.25
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Quir1314 -1.6 1181 → 1179 Going in 1181 40 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1034–1222 Expected 3% win chance Stat line -1.60 Score 0.00 of 1.00 left after a third of the match: a loss, stats not used Surprise -0.03 Ceiling 52.5 pts Change 52.50 × -0.0314 = -1.65 applied: -1.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/96.1² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 52.50 change = 52.50 × (0.0000 − 0.0314) = -1.65
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
gadun77280 -2.5 471 → 468 Going in 471 45 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 0.49 of 1.00 43% win chance (0.97) + 57% usual stats at this rating (0.13) Stat line -7.80 Score 0.44 of 1.00 43% result (1) + 57% stats (0.01 ) Surprise -0.06 Ceiling 43.5 pts Change 43.50 × -0.0567 = -2.47 applied: -2.5 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9968² × 0.9686 × (1−0.9686)) = 998,616 ceiling = Q / (1/87.4² + 1/998,616) × 0.9968 = 43.50 change = 43.50 × (0.4359 − 0.4926) = -2.47
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Laky_S -2.6 817 → 814 Going in 817 114 rated matches before this, mid-range of 767–1075 Expected 0.20 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.03) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.32) Stat line -4.90 Score 0.04 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.06 ) Surprise -0.17 Ceiling 15.3 pts Change 15.29 × -0.1669 = -2.55 applied: -2.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/51.7² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 15.29 change = 15.29 × (0.0371 − 0.2040) = -2.55
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
fieldMarte -2.9 746 → 743 Going in 746 68 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 0.17 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.03) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.26) Stat line -5.06 Score 0.03 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.05 ) Surprise -0.14 Ceiling 21.1 pts Change 21.06 × -0.1368 = -2.88 applied: -2.9 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/60.7² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 21.06 change = 21.06 × (0.0328 − 0.1696) = -2.88
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
peco13 -5.5 772 → 767 Going in 772 47 rated matches before this, mid-range of 726–986 Expected 0.18 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.03) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.28) Stat line -6.15 Score 0.02 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.03 ) Surprise -0.16 Ceiling 33.3 pts Change 33.29 × -0.1624 = -5.41 applied: -5.5 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/76.4² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 33.29 change = 33.29 × (0.0191 − 0.1815) = -5.41
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Jcreepz -38.9 856 → 817 Going in 856 3 rated matches before this Expected 0.19 of 1.00 49% win chance (0.03) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.35) Stat line -4.44 Score 0.04 of 1.00 49% result (0) + 51% stats (0.08 ) Surprise -0.15 Ceiling 252.3 pts Change 252.33 × -0.1541 = -38.89 applied: -38.9 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9966² × 0.0314 × (1−0.0314)) = 999,017 ceiling = Q / (1/214.5² + 1/999,017) × 0.9966 = 252.33 change = 252.33 × (0.0395 − 0.1936) = -38.89
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures Weapon breakdown Raw stat fields (539 values) — raw JSON