Volokolamsk Lake Confrontation · confrontation · SQUADS · standard
BR 2 match BR
2026-08-01 12:37 start
10:54 length
419 kills
Team 2 winner
Mixed 20 human · 4 console / 16 PC decode: proto 304 · 1308 stat syncs · 394 zone events · 466 soldier mappings · 2602866.51s · game 0.7.5.119
Scoreboard Factions: Axis vs USSR — sides not determinable for this mode
Team 1 · score 12434 Players Team 2 · score 19995
8 THINONEI (AI) [BOT] — 1 0 1.0 9 0 0.0 2 699
12 NotSimon (AI) [BOT] — 0 0 0.0 0 0 0.0 0 0
2 RB37Rb 1270 ▲ +1 2 66 4 3.0 0 20 0.0 3 4250 10 Lukeyy (AI) [BOT] — 1 0 1.0 0 1 0.0 0 80
Assists are approximate — the replay records a lower assist count than the in-game scoreboard shows; all other columns match the in-game values.
Rating maths Pre-match odds: 1% / 99% . New players (under 10 rated matches before this one): 4 / 2 . Each one lowers their side's odds. For reference only — this is how the rating was worked out, not advice on how to play.
Full formula →
Valter_1972 +12.8 812 → 824 Going in 812 4 rated matches before this Expected 0.23 of 1.00 48% win chance (0.01) + 52% usual stats at this rating (0.44) Stat line +0.48 Score 0.30 of 1.00 48% result (0) + 52% stats (0.57 ) Surprise +0.06 Ceiling 287.8 pts Change 287.81 × +0.0633 = +18.22 applied: +12.8 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/226.7² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 287.81 change = 287.81 × (0.2976 − 0.2343) = +18.22
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Hellingen#1 +11.7 1195 → 1206 Going in 1195 10 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1063–1287 Expected 0.92 of 1.00 41% win chance (0.99) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.87) Stat line +12.04 Score 1.00 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (1.00 ) Surprise +0.08 Ceiling 151.0 pts Change 151.00 × +0.0778 = +11.74 applied: +11.7 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/163.8² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 151.00 change = 151.00 × (0.9993 − 0.9215) = +11.74
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Ash_was_taken +6.2 859 → 865 Going in 859 25 rated matches before this, mid-range of 814–985 Expected 0.30 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.01) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.49) Stat line +2.82 Score 0.45 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.76 ) Surprise +0.16 Ceiling 56.4 pts Change 56.37 × +0.1579 = +8.90 applied: +6.2 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/99.6² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 56.37 change = 56.37 × (0.4549 − 0.2970) = +8.90
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
brfgtased +4.5 889 → 893 Going in 889 55 rated matches before this, mid-range of 719–1000 Expected 0.72 of 1.00 41% win chance (0.99) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.52) Stat line +2.09 Score 0.86 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (0.76 ) Surprise +0.15 Ceiling 31.1 pts Change 31.14 × +0.1455 = +4.53 applied: +4.5 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/74.1² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 31.14 change = 31.14 × (0.8605 − 0.7150) = +4.53
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Kailan#2 +4.5 645 → 650 Going in 645 43 rated matches before this, mid-range of 632–925 Expected 0.17 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.01) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.28) Stat line +1.97 Score 0.36 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.60 ) Surprise +0.19 Ceiling 34.6 pts Change 34.62 × +0.1874 = +6.49 applied: +4.5 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/78.0² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 34.62 change = 34.62 × (0.3608 − 0.1734) = +6.49
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
ARGANEL +3.1 552 → 555 Going in 552 98 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 0.14 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.01) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.22) Stat line +2.25 Score 0.38 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.64 ) Surprise +0.25 Ceiling 17.5 pts Change 17.55 × +0.2479 = +4.35 applied: +3.1 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/55.5² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 17.55 change = 17.55 × (0.3838 − 0.1359) = +4.35
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Hepheisto#1 +2.1 1343 → 1345 Going in 1343 38 rated matches before this, mid-range of 958–1372 Expected 0.95 of 1.00 41% win chance (0.99) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.92) Stat line +16.09 Score 1.00 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (1.00 ) Surprise +0.05 Ceiling 41.8 pts Change 41.81 × +0.0511 = +2.14 applied: +2.1 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/85.9² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 41.81 change = 41.81 × (0.9999 − 0.9488) = +2.14
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Shurlik#1 +1.3 613 → 614 Going in 613 200+ rated matches before this, mid-range of 582–863 over the last 200 Expected 0.56 of 1.00 41% win chance (0.99) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.26) Stat line +0.06 Score 0.71 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (0.51 ) Surprise +0.15 Ceiling 8.7 pts Change 8.68 × +0.1517 = +1.32 applied: +1.3 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/39.1² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 8.68 change = 8.68 × (0.7117 − 0.5600) = +1.32
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
RB37Rb +0.6 1269 → 1270 Going in 1269 70 rated matches before this, mid-range of 1075–1284 Expected 0.94 of 1.00 41% win chance (0.99) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.90) Stat line +4.95 Score 0.96 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (0.94 ) Surprise +0.03 Ceiling 25.5 pts Change 25.46 × +0.0253 = +0.65 applied: +0.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/67.0² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 25.46 change = 25.46 × (0.9648 − 0.9395) = +0.65
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
AntiqueCar24 +0.4 806 → 806 Going in 806 89 rated matches before this, mid-range of 743–1000 Expected 0.26 of 1.00 40% win chance (0.01) + 60% usual stats at this rating (0.43) Stat line -0.04 Score 0.30 of 1.00 40% result (0) + 60% stats (0.49 ) Surprise +0.03 Ceiling 19.0 pts Change 19.03 × +0.0338 = +0.64 applied: +0.4 Capped gain capped (you cannot climb by losing) Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/57.8² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 19.03 change = 19.03 × (0.2965 − 0.2627) = +0.64
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Monster1980freak@psn -0.6 503 → 502 Going in 503 23 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 1% win chance Stat line -4.01 Score 0.00 of 1.00 left after a third of the match: a loss, stats not used Surprise -0.01 Ceiling 53.5 pts Change 53.48 × -0.0111 = -0.59 applied: -0.6 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/97.0² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 53.48 change = 53.48 × (0.0000 − 0.0111) = -0.59
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
gaozixun11@psn -0.7 771 → 770 Going in 771 18 rated matches before this, mid-range of 768–925 Expected 1% win chance Stat line -4.62 Score 0.00 of 1.00 left after a third of the match: a loss, stats not used Surprise -0.01 Ceiling 64.2 pts Change 64.18 × -0.0111 = -0.71 applied: -0.7 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/106.3² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 64.18 change = 64.18 × (0.0000 − 0.0111) = -0.71
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
nexo__#1 -6.7 787 → 780 Going in 787 39 rated matches before this, mid-range of 677–936 Expected 0.65 of 1.00 41% win chance (0.99) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.41) Stat line -4.58 Score 0.46 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (0.07 ) Surprise -0.19 Ceiling 34.7 pts Change 34.67 × -0.1939 = -6.72 applied: -6.7 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/78.2² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 34.67 change = 34.67 × (0.4568 − 0.6507) = -6.72
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
maheverbrugge -7.3 824 → 817 Going in 824 29 rated matches before this, mid-range of 794–925 Expected 0.67 of 1.00 41% win chance (0.99) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.45) Stat line -3.01 Score 0.51 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (0.16 ) Surprise -0.17 Ceiling 44.1 pts Change 44.08 × -0.1657 = -7.31 applied: -7.3 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/88.2² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 44.08 change = 44.08 × (0.5070 − 0.6727) = -7.31
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
LockernenHeady -14.3 1009 → 995 Going in 1009 4 rated matches before this Expected 0.83 of 1.00 49% win chance (0.99) + 51% usual stats at this rating (0.68) Stat line +0.43 Score 0.77 of 1.00 49% result (1) + 51% stats (0.56 ) Surprise -0.06 Ceiling 247.2 pts Change 247.17 × -0.0576 = -14.24 applied: -14.3 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/210.2² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 247.17 change = 247.17 × (0.7745 − 0.8321) = -14.24
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
TankMaster007 -15.4 896 → 881 Going in 896 20 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 0.72 of 1.00 41% win chance (0.99) + 59% usual stats at this rating (0.53) Stat line -4.13 Score 0.47 of 1.00 41% result (1) + 59% stats (0.09 ) Surprise -0.25 Ceiling 61.2 pts Change 61.22 × -0.2520 = -15.43 applied: -15.4 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/104.0² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 61.22 change = 61.22 × (0.4679 − 0.7199) = -15.43
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Ady20092 -23.1 1000 → 977 Going in 1000 6 rated matches before this, mid-range of 974–1045 Expected 0.38 of 1.00 44% win chance (0.01) + 56% usual stats at this rating (0.67) Stat line +0.13 Score 0.29 of 1.00 44% result (0) + 56% stats (0.52 ) Surprise -0.09 Ceiling 255.1 pts Change 255.08 × -0.0907 = -23.14 applied: -23.1 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/213.2² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 255.08 change = 255.08 × (0.2914 − 0.3821) = -23.14
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
seganbros -54.5 843 → 789 Going in 843 5 rated matches before this, its lowest yet Expected 0.25 of 1.00 48% win chance (0.01) + 52% usual stats at this rating (0.47) Stat line -3.77 Score 0.06 of 1.00 48% result (0) + 52% stats (0.11 ) Surprise -0.19 Ceiling 280.1 pts Change 280.13 × -0.1947 = -54.55 applied: -54.5 Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/223.6² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 280.13 change = 280.13 × (0.0574 − 0.2521) = -54.55
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
guarded_king92@psn -75.0 925 → 850 Going in 925 1 rated match before this Expected 0.27 of 1.00 53% win chance (0.01) + 47% usual stats at this rating (0.56) Stat line -8.49 Score 0.00 of 1.00 53% result (0) + 47% stats (0.01 ) Surprise -0.27 Ceiling 581.2 pts Change 581.17 × -0.2656 = -154.35 applied: -75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9907² × 0.0111 × (1−0.0111)) = 2,801,102 ceiling = Q / (1/325.2² + 1/2,801,102) × 0.9907 = 581.17 change = 581.17 × (0.0041 − 0.2697) = -154.35
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
premier-navy38@psn -75.0 925 → 850 Going in 925 1 rated match before this Expected 99% win chance Stat line -11.15 Score 0.00 of 1.00 left after a third of the match: a loss, stats not used Surprise -0.99 Ceiling 578.1 pts Change 578.13 × -0.9889 = -571.71 applied: -75.0 Capped limited by the placement cap Show the arithmetic d² = 1 / (Q ² × 0.9870² × 0.9889 × (1−0.9889)) = 2,822,143 ceiling = Q / (1/324.9² + 1/2,822,143) × 0.9870 = 578.13 change = 578.13 × (0.0000 − 0.9889) = -571.71
The full formula and pseudocode on the formula page →
Captures Weapon breakdown Raw stat fields (484 values) — raw JSON